Thu, Nov 27 2025 • 17:45 • Doosan Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.96 (league 1.56) 0.82 (league 1.22)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
37.4% 33.0% 29.5%
best score tips
0 - 0
16.9%
1 - 0
16.2%
0 - 1
13.8%
Score & goals probability table
SC Freiburg
0 1 2 3 4 5
Plzen 0 16.9% 13.8% 5.6% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
1 16.2% 13.3% 5.4% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0%
2 7.8% 6.4% 2.6% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 2.5% 2.0% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.6% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPlzenSC Freiburg
Played44
Form67%83%
Attack35%47%
Defense88%82%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.58 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.53 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

66%
FT probability

2.5+

47%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Plzen SC Freiburg
HATHAT
Played224224
Wins50%50%50%100%50%75%
Draws50%50%50%0%50%25%
Loses0%0%0%0%0%0%

Form: Plzen: DWWD • SC Freiburg: WDWW

League goals

Metric Plzen SC Freiburg
HATHAT
GF total336448
GF avg1.51.51.52.02.02.0
GA total022123
GA avg0.01.00.50.51.00.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePlzenSC Freiburg
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%50%100%75%
1.550%0%75%0%
2.525%0%25%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPlzenSC Freiburg
HATHAT
Clean sheets202101
Failed to score101000

Penalties

MetricPlzenSC Freiburg
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total02

Streaks

MetricPlzenSC Freiburg
Wins21
Draws11
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-22-01-3
Biggest losses————
Goals For3223
Goals Against0111

Model comparison

MetricPlzenSC Freiburg
Form44%56%
Att43%57%
Def60%40%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total49.0%51.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Plzen or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.42 @ 1xBet
Draw3.44 @ Pinnacle
Away2.33 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.19 @ 1xBet
Under 2.51.87 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.91 @ Bet365
No2.08 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Plzen = 0.96 (league 1.56), SC Freiburg = 0.82 (league 1.22)

SC Freiburg
0 1 2 3 4 5
Plzen 0 16.9% 13.8% 5.6% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
1 16.2% 13.3% 5.4% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0%
2 7.8% 6.4% 2.6% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 2.5% 2.0% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.6% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 37.4% · Draw 33.0% · Away win 29.5%

vtt 27 , vtd1