Thu, Nov 27 2025 • 17:45 • Villa Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.21 (league 1.62) 0.43 (league 1.17)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
55.8% 30.9% 13.1%
best score tips
1 - 0
23.6%
0 - 0
19.5%
2 - 0
14.2%
Score & goals probability table
BSC Young Boys
0 1 2 3 4 5
Aston Villa 0 19.5% 8.3% 1.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
1 23.6% 10.1% 2.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 14.2% 6.1% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 5.7% 2.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.7% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAston VillaBSC Young Boys
Played45
Form75%60%
Attack35%53%
Defense88%29%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.59 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.512 | 2.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

68%
FT probability

2.5+

48%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

57%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Aston Villa BSC Young Boys
HATHAT
Played224336
Wins100%50%75%67%67%67%
Draws0%0%0%0%0%0%
Loses0%50%25%33%33%33%

Form: Aston Villa: WWLW • BSC Young Boys: WWLWWL

League goals

Metric Aston Villa BSC Young Boys
HATHAT
GF total3367310
GF avg1.51.51.52.31.01.7
GA total0228412
GA avg0.01.00.52.71.32.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAston VillaBSC Young Boys
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%25%83%67%
1.550%25%50%67%
2.50%0%33%33%
3.50%0%0%33%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAston VillaBSC Young Boys
HATHAT
Clean sheets213022
Failed to score000011

Penalties

MetricAston VillaBSC Young Boys
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricAston VillaBSC Young Boys
Wins22
Draws00
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-23-20-2
Biggest losses—2-11-44-0
Goals For2232
Goals Against0244

Model comparison

MetricAston VillaBSC Young Boys
Form50%50%
Att40%60%
Def86%14%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h100%0%
Goals100%0%
Total58.7%41.3%

Advice: Double chance : Aston Villa or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.24 @ 1xBet
Draw7.59 @ Pinnacle
Away13.30 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.37 @ Betano
Under 2.53.30 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.97 @ 188Bet
No1.97 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Aston Villa = 1.21 (league 1.62), BSC Young Boys = 0.43 (league 1.17)

BSC Young Boys
0 1 2 3 4 5
Aston Villa 0 19.5% 8.3% 1.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
1 23.6% 10.1% 2.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 14.2% 6.1% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 5.7% 2.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.7% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 55.8% · Draw 30.9% · Away win 13.1%

Vtot 27 , Vtod1