Thu, Dec 11 2025 • 17:45 • Huvepharma Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.60 (league 1.60) 2.13 (league 1.20)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
44.2% 18.5% 30.4%
best score tips
2 - 2
6.8%
2 - 1
6.4%
3 - 2
5.9%
Score & goals probability table
PAOK
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ludogorets 0 0.9% 1.9% 2.0% 1.4% 0.8% 0.3%
1 2.3% 4.9% 5.2% 3.7% 2.0% 0.8%
2 3.0% 6.4% 6.8% 4.8% 2.6% 1.1%
3 2.6% 5.5% 5.9% 4.2% 2.2% 0.9%
4 1.7% 3.6% 3.8% 2.7% 1.4% 0.6%
5 0.9% 1.9% 2.0% 1.4% 0.7% 0.3%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLudogoretsPAOK
Played55
Form40%53%
Attack44%56%
Defense39%61%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.610 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)11 | 2.27 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

70%
FT probability

3.5+

50%
FT probability

BTTS

75%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Ludogorets PAOK
HATHAT
Played347549
Wins67%25%43%40%50%44%
Draws0%0%0%60%0%33%
Loses33%75%57%0%50%22%

Form: Ludogorets: LWWLLLW • PAOK: DWLWDLWWD

League goals

Metric Ludogorets PAOK
HATHAT
GF total761310616
GF avg2.31.51.92.01.51.8
GA total5914178
GA avg1.72.32.00.21.80.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLudogoretsPAOK
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.586%100%67%44%
1.557%71%33%22%
2.529%29%33%22%
3.514%0%33%0%
4.50%0%11%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLudogoretsPAOK
HATHAT
Clean sheets000415
Failed to score101213

Penalties

MetricLudogoretsPAOK
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total30

Streaks

MetricLudogoretsPAOK
Wins22
Draws01
Losses31

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-11-25-03-4
Biggest losses0-23-1—3-1
Goals For4254
Goals Against2313

Model comparison

MetricLudogoretsPAOK
Form43%57%
Att44%56%
Def39%61%
Poisson Distribution57%43%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total45.8%54.3%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or PAOK and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.81 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.62 @ 1xBet
Away2.10 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.04 @ 188Bet
Under 2.51.96 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.81 @ 188Bet
No2.08 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Ludogorets = 2.60 (league 1.60), PAOK = 2.13 (league 1.20)

PAOK
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ludogorets 0 0.9% 1.9% 2.0% 1.4% 0.8% 0.3%
1 2.3% 4.9% 5.2% 3.7% 2.0% 0.8%
2 3.0% 6.4% 6.8% 4.8% 2.6% 1.1%
3 2.6% 5.5% 5.9% 4.2% 2.2% 0.9%
4 1.7% 3.6% 3.8% 2.7% 1.4% 0.6%
5 0.9% 1.9% 2.0% 1.4% 0.7% 0.3%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 44.2% · Draw 18.5% · Away win 30.4%

Vtot 15 , Vtod1