Thu, Dec 11 2025 • 17:45 • MCH Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.96 (league 1.60) 1.10 (league 1.20)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
55.7% 21.8% 20.9%
best score tips
1 - 1
10.1%
2 - 1
9.9%
1 - 0
9.2%
Score & goals probability table
Genk
0 1 2 3 4 5
FC Midtjylland 0 4.7% 5.2% 2.9% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
1 9.2% 10.1% 5.6% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1%
2 9.0% 9.9% 5.5% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1%
3 5.9% 6.5% 3.6% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
4 2.9% 3.2% 1.7% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
5 1.1% 1.2% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFC MidtjyllandGenk
Played55
Form80%67%
Attack67%39%
Defense72%72%
Goals For (tot | avg)12 | 2.47 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 15 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

68%
FT probability

3.5+

48%
FT probability

BTTS

74%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric FC Midtjylland Genk
HATHAT
Played5611437
Wins80%83%82%25%100%57%
Draws20%0%9%25%0%14%
Loses0%17%9%50%0%29%

Form: FC Midtjylland: DWWWWWWWWWL • Genk: WLWLDWW

League goals

Metric FC Midtjylland Genk
HATHAT
GF total12142631013
GF avg2.42.32.40.83.31.9
GA total268448
GA avg0.41.00.71.01.31.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFC MidtjyllandGenk
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%55%71%71%
1.582%18%43%29%
2.545%0%29%14%
3.59%0%29%0%
4.50%0%14%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFC MidtjyllandGenk
HATHAT
Clean sheets325112
Failed to score000202

Penalties

MetricFC MidtjyllandGenk
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricFC MidtjyllandGenk
Wins91
Draws11
Losses01

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-32-11-5
Biggest losses—2-11-2—
Goals For4325
Goals Against1223

Model comparison

MetricFC MidtjyllandGenk
Form55%45%
Att63%37%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution66%34%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total58.5%41.5%

Advice: Double chance : FC Midtjylland or draw

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.81 @ 188Bet
Draw4.30 @ Betano
Away4.65 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.58 @ Marathonbet
Under 2.52.48 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.60 @ Pinnacle
No2.42 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): FC Midtjylland = 1.96 (league 1.60), Genk = 1.10 (league 1.20)

Genk
0 1 2 3 4 5
FC Midtjylland 0 4.7% 5.2% 2.9% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
1 9.2% 10.1% 5.6% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1%
2 9.0% 9.9% 5.5% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1%
3 5.9% 6.5% 3.6% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
4 2.9% 3.2% 1.7% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
5 1.1% 1.2% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 55.7% · Draw 21.8% · Away win 20.9%

Vtot 16 , Vtod1