Thu, Dec 11 2025 • 20:00 • Estadio Abanca-Balaídos
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.57 (league 1.60) 0.83 (league 1.20)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
54.1% 25.4% 19.9%
best score tips
1 - 0
14.2%
1 - 1
11.8%
2 - 0
11.1%
Score & goals probability table
Bologna
0 1 2 3 4 5
Celta Vigo 0 9.1% 7.6% 3.2% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
1 14.2% 11.8% 4.9% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0%
2 11.1% 9.3% 3.9% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
3 5.8% 4.8% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.3% 1.9% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.7% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCelta VigoBologna
Played55
Form60%53%
Attack61%39%
Defense61%78%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.27 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.44 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

81%
FT probability

2.5+

57%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

78%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Celta Vigo Bologna
HATHAT
Played235325
Wins100%33%60%33%50%40%
Draws0%0%0%67%0%40%
Loses0%67%40%0%50%20%

Form: Celta Vigo: LWWWL • Bologna: LDWDW

League goals

Metric Celta Vigo Bologna
HATHAT
GF total5611527
GF avg2.52.02.21.71.01.4
GA total257224
GA avg1.01.71.40.71.00.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCelta VigoBologna
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%80%60%80%
1.580%40%40%0%
2.540%20%20%0%
3.50%0%20%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCelta VigoBologna
HATHAT
Clean sheets011101
Failed to score000112

Penalties

MetricCelta VigoBologna
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricCelta VigoBologna
Wins31
Draws01
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-34-11-2
Biggest losses—3-2—1-0
Goals For3342
Goals Against1311

Model comparison

MetricCelta VigoBologna
Form53%47%
Att61%39%
Def36%64%
Poisson Distribution67%33%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total54.3%45.8%

Advice: Double chance : Celta Vigo or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.44 @ 1xBet
Draw3.48 @ 1xBet
Away3.20 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.10 @ 188Bet
Under 2.51.94 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.81 @ 188Bet
No2.22 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Celta Vigo = 1.57 (league 1.60), Bologna = 0.83 (league 1.20)

Bologna
0 1 2 3 4 5
Celta Vigo 0 9.1% 7.6% 3.2% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
1 14.2% 11.8% 4.9% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0%
2 11.1% 9.3% 3.9% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
3 5.8% 4.8% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.3% 1.9% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.7% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 54.1% · Draw 25.4% · Away win 19.9%

Vtot 10 , Vtod1