Thu, Dec 11 2025 • 20:00 • Europa-Park Stadion
Match Finished
Expected Goals
3.76 (league 1.60) 0.21 (league 1.20)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
77.8% 3.7% 0.6%
best score tips
3 - 0
16.7%
4 - 0
15.7%
2 - 0
13.4%
Score & goals probability table
Red Bull Salzburg
0 1 2 3 4 5
SC Freiburg 0 1.9% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 7.1% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 13.4% 2.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 16.7% 3.5% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 15.7% 3.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 11.8% 2.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSC FreiburgRed Bull Salzburg
Played55
Form73%20%
Attack44%28%
Defense83%44%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.65 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.610 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

80%
FT probability

2.5+

56%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric SC Freiburg Red Bull Salzburg
HATHAT
Played235325
Wins100%33%60%33%0%20%
Draws0%67%40%0%0%0%
Loses0%0%0%67%100%80%

Form: SC Freiburg: WDWWD • Red Bull Salzburg: LLLWL

League goals

Metric SC Freiburg Red Bull Salzburg
HATHAT
GF total448415
GF avg2.01.31.61.30.51.0
GA total1234610
GA avg0.50.70.61.33.02.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSC FreiburgRed Bull Salzburg
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.580%60%60%80%
1.560%0%40%60%
2.520%0%0%40%
3.50%0%0%20%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSC FreiburgRed Bull Salzburg
HATHAT
Clean sheets112101
Failed to score011112

Penalties

MetricSC FreiburgRed Bull Salzburg
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricSC FreiburgRed Bull Salzburg
Wins21
Draws10
Losses03

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-32-0—
Biggest losses——2-34-1
Goals For2321
Goals Against1134

Model comparison

MetricSC FreiburgRed Bull Salzburg
Form79%21%
Att62%38%
Def77%23%
Poisson Distribution95%5%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total78.3%21.8%

Advice: Winner : SC Freiburg

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.52 @ Betano
Draw4.80 @ 1xBet
Away7.00 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.73 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.32 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.91 @ Bet365
No2.05 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): SC Freiburg = 3.76 (league 1.60), Red Bull Salzburg = 0.21 (league 1.20)

Red Bull Salzburg
0 1 2 3 4 5
SC Freiburg 0 1.9% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 7.1% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 13.4% 2.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 16.7% 3.5% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 15.7% 3.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 11.8% 2.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 77.8% · Draw 3.7% · Away win 0.6%

Vtot 16 , Vtod1