Thu, Dec 11 2025 • 20:00 • Estádio Do Dragão
Match Finished
Expected Goals
3.25 (league 1.54) 0.29 (league 1.21)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
81.1% 6.4% 1.5%
best score tips
3 - 0
16.6%
2 - 0
15.4%
4 - 0
13.5%
Score & goals probability table
Malmo FF
0 1 2 3 4 5
FC Porto 0 2.9% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 9.5% 2.7% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 15.4% 4.4% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 16.6% 4.8% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 13.5% 3.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 8.8% 2.5% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFC PortoMalmo FF
Played55
Form67%7%
Attack39%11%
Defense78%44%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.42 | 0.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.810 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

74%
FT probability

2.5+

52%
FT probability

3.5+

37%
FT probability

BTTS

62%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric FC Porto Malmo FF
HATHAT
Played235437
Wins100%33%60%25%33%29%
Draws0%33%20%25%0%14%
Loses0%33%20%50%67%57%

Form: FC Porto: WWLDW • Malmo FF: WWLLDLL

League goals

Metric FC Porto Malmo FF
HATHAT
GF total527527
GF avg2.50.71.41.30.71.0
GA total1344610
GA avg0.51.00.81.02.01.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFC PortoMalmo FF
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.580%60%57%71%
1.540%20%29%43%
2.520%0%14%29%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFC PortoMalmo FF
HATHAT
Clean sheets112112
Failed to score011123

Penalties

MetricFC PortoMalmo FF
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricFC PortoMalmo FF
Wins22
Draws11
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-13-00-2
Biggest losses—2-01-23-0
Goals For3132
Goals Against1223

Model comparison

MetricFC PortoMalmo FF
Form91%9%
Att78%22%
Def71%29%
Poisson Distribution92%8%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total83.0%17.0%

Advice: Winner : FC Porto

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.24 @ Betano
Draw7.14 @ Pinnacle
Away17.00 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.68 @ 1xBet
Under 2.52.39 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.50 @ Pinnacle
No1.57 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): FC Porto = 3.25 (league 1.54), Malmo FF = 0.29 (league 1.21)

Malmo FF
0 1 2 3 4 5
FC Porto 0 2.9% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 9.5% 2.7% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 15.4% 4.4% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 16.6% 4.8% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 13.5% 3.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 8.8% 2.5% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 81.1% · Draw 6.4% · Away win 1.5%

vtt 14 , vtd1