Thu, Jan 22 2026 • 20:00 • Red Bull Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.63 (league 1.60) 0.77 (league 1.18)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
57.1% 24.6% 17.6%
best score tips
1 - 0
14.8%
2 - 0
12.0%
1 - 1
11.4%
Score & goals probability table
FC Basel 1893
0 1 2 3 4 5
Red Bull Salzburg 0 9.1% 7.0% 2.7% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
1 14.8% 11.4% 4.4% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
2 12.0% 9.3% 3.6% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 6.5% 5.0% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.7% 2.1% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.9% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricRed Bull SalzburgFC Basel 1893
Played55
Form20%40%
Attack45%64%
Defense9%36%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 17 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 27 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%
FT probability

2.5+

54%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Red Bull Salzburg FC Basel 1893
HATHAT
Played336336
Wins33%0%17%67%0%33%
Draws0%0%0%0%0%0%
Loses67%100%83%33%100%67%

Form: Red Bull Salzburg: LLLWLL • FC Basel 1893: LWLWLL

League goals

Metric Red Bull Salzburg FC Basel 1893
HATHAT
GF total415628
GF avg1.30.30.82.00.71.3
GA total4711369
GA avg1.32.31.81.02.01.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineRed Bull SalzburgFC Basel 1893
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%83%83%83%
1.533%50%33%67%
2.50%33%17%0%
3.50%17%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricRed Bull SalzburgFC Basel 1893
HATHAT
Clean sheets101101
Failed to score123011

Penalties

MetricRed Bull SalzburgFC Basel 1893
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricRed Bull SalzburgFC Basel 1893
Wins11
Draws00
Losses31

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-0—3-1—
Biggest losses2-34-11-22-0
Goals For2131
Goals Against3422

Model comparison

MetricRed Bull SalzburgFC Basel 1893
Form33%67%
Att42%58%
Def41%59%
Poisson Distribution71%29%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total46.8%53.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or FC Basel 1893

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.35 @ 188Bet
Draw4.09 @ 1xBet
Away3.27 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.55 @ Unibet
Under 2.52.80 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.50 @ Betfair
No2.85 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Red Bull Salzburg = 1.63 (league 1.60), FC Basel 1893 = 0.77 (league 1.18)

FC Basel 1893
0 1 2 3 4 5
Red Bull Salzburg 0 9.1% 7.0% 2.7% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
1 14.8% 11.4% 4.4% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
2 12.0% 9.3% 3.6% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 6.5% 5.0% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.7% 2.1% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.9% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 57.1% · Draw 24.6% · Away win 17.6%

vtt 4 , vtd3