Mineiro - 3
— Brazil
Sat, Sep 20 2025 • 18:30 •
Venue TBA
Expected Goals
0.77 (league 1.57)
0.05 (league 1.17)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 51.8% | 45.9% | 2.3% |
best score tips
0 - 0
44.2%
1 - 0
33.9%
2 - 0
13.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Serranense | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Novo Esporte Clube | 0 | 44.2% | 2.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 33.9% | 1.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 13.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 3.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Novo Esporte Clube | Serranense |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 3 | 2 |
| Form | 56% | 17% |
| Attack | 11% | 22% |
| Defense | 100% | 56% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 1 | 0.3 | 2 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
66%
FT probability
2.5+
47%
FT probability
3.5+
33%
FT probability
BTTS
43%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Novo Esporte Clube | Serranense | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Wins | 0% | 50% | 33% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Draws | 100% | 50% | 67% | 100% | 0% | 50% |
| Loses | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 50% |
Form: Novo Esporte Clube: WDD • Serranense: LD
League goals
| Metric | Novo Esporte Clube | Serranense | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| GF avg | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 |
| GA avg | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Novo Esporte Clube | Serranense | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 33% | 0% | 50% | 50% |
| 1.5 | 0% | 0% | 50% | 50% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 50% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 50% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Novo Esporte Clube | Serranense | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Novo Esporte Clube | Serranense |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Novo Esporte Clube | Serranense |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 0 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 0 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | 0-1 | — | — |
| Biggest losses | — | — | — | 4-2 |
| Goals For | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Novo Esporte Clube | Serranense |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 83% | 17% |
| Att | 33% | 67% |
| Def | 100% | 0% |
| Poisson Distribution | 0% | 0% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 58.0% | 42.0% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Novo Esporte Clube or draw and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Novo Esporte Clube = 0.77 (league 1.57), Serranense = 0.05 (league 1.17)
| Serranense | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Novo Esporte Clube | 0 | 44.2% | 2.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 33.9% | 1.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 13.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 3.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 51.8% · Draw 45.9% · Away win 2.3%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1