Thu, Oct 2 2025 • 16:45 • Chorten Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
3.24 (league 1.67) 1.66 (league 1.20)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
57.5% 14.7% 16.2%
best score tips
3 - 1
7.0%
2 - 1
6.5%
3 - 2
5.8%
Score & goals probability table
Hamrun Spartans
0 1 2 3 4 5
Jagiellonia 0 0.7% 1.2% 1.0% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
1 2.4% 4.0% 3.3% 1.8% 0.8% 0.3%
2 3.9% 6.5% 5.4% 3.0% 1.2% 0.4%
3 4.2% 7.0% 5.8% 3.2% 1.3% 0.4%
4 3.4% 5.7% 4.7% 2.6% 1.1% 0.4%
5 2.2% 3.7% 3.0% 1.7% 0.7% 0.2%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricJagielloniaHamrun Spartans
Played52
Form73%67%
Attack56%17%
Defense78%89%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 23 | 1.5
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.82 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

93%
FT probability

2.5+

65%
FT probability

3.5+

46%
FT probability

BTTS

81%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 6 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Jagiellonia Hamrun Spartans
HATHAT
Played336112
Wins67%67%67%100%0%50%
Draws33%33%33%0%100%50%
Loses0%0%0%0%0%0%

Form: Jagiellonia: WWWDWD • Hamrun Spartans: WD

League goals

Metric Jagiellonia Hamrun Spartans
HATHAT
GF total8412123
GF avg2.71.32.01.02.01.5
GA total325022
GA avg1.00.70.80.02.01.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineJagielloniaHamrun Spartans
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%67%100%50%
1.567%17%50%50%
2.533%0%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricJagielloniaHamrun Spartans
HATHAT
Clean sheets112101
Failed to score000000

Penalties

MetricJagielloniaHamrun Spartans
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricJagielloniaHamrun Spartans
Wins31
Draws10
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-21-0—
Biggest losses————
Goals For3212
Goals Against2102

Model comparison

MetricJagielloniaHamrun Spartans
Form73%27%
Att77%23%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution66%34%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total62.3%37.8%

Advice: Double chance : Jagiellonia or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.24 @ 1xBet
Draw7.00 @ Unibet
Away15.00 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.55 @ Betano
Under 2.52.54 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.27 @ Superbet
No1.73 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Jagiellonia = 3.24 (league 1.67), Hamrun Spartans = 1.66 (league 1.20)

Hamrun Spartans
0 1 2 3 4 5
Jagiellonia 0 0.7% 1.2% 1.0% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
1 2.4% 4.0% 3.3% 1.8% 0.8% 0.3%
2 3.9% 6.5% 5.4% 3.0% 1.2% 0.4%
3 4.2% 7.0% 5.8% 3.2% 1.3% 0.4%
4 3.4% 5.7% 4.7% 2.6% 1.1% 0.4%
5 2.2% 3.7% 3.0% 1.7% 0.7% 0.2%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 57.5% · Draw 14.7% · Away win 16.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1