Thu, Oct 2 2025 • 19:00 • Stadion Z'dežele
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.88 (league 1.70) 1.61 (league 1.24)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
20.5% 24.9% 53.9%
best score tips
0 - 1
13.3%
1 - 1
11.7%
0 - 2
10.7%
Score & goals probability table
AEK Athens FC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Celje 0 8.3% 13.3% 10.7% 5.8% 2.3% 0.7%
1 7.3% 11.7% 9.5% 5.1% 2.0% 0.7%
2 3.2% 5.2% 4.2% 2.2% 0.9% 0.3%
3 0.9% 1.5% 1.2% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCeljeAEK Athens FC
Played45
Form75%60%
Attack56%44%
Defense78%78%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 2.58 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 14 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

80%
FT probability

2.5+

56%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Celje AEK Athens FC
HATHAT
Played224336
Wins50%100%75%100%0%50%
Draws0%0%0%0%100%50%
Loses50%0%25%0%0%0%

Form: Celje: WLWW • AEK Athens FC: WDDWDW

League goals

Metric Celje AEK Athens FC
HATHAT
GF total3710639
GF avg1.53.52.52.01.01.5
GA total404134
GA avg2.00.01.00.31.00.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCeljeAEK Athens FC
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%25%83%50%
1.575%25%50%17%
2.525%25%17%0%
3.525%25%0%0%
4.525%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCeljeAEK Athens FC
HATHAT
Clean sheets123213
Failed to score000011

Penalties

MetricCeljeAEK Athens FC
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricCeljeAEK Athens FC
Wins11
Draws02
Losses10

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-00-53-1
Biggest losses2-4
Goals For2532
Goals Against4012

Model comparison

MetricCeljeAEK Athens FC
Form50%50%
Att56%44%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution35%65%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total47.8%52.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or AEK Athens FC

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.33 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.79 @ Pinnacle
Away2.13 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.72 @ 1xBet
Under 2.52.23 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.62 @ William Hill
No2.38 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Celje = 0.88 (league 1.70), AEK Athens FC = 1.61 (league 1.24)

AEK Athens FC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Celje 0 8.3% 13.3% 10.7% 5.8% 2.3% 0.7%
1 7.3% 11.7% 9.5% 5.1% 2.0% 0.7%
2 3.2% 5.2% 4.2% 2.2% 0.9% 0.3%
3 0.9% 1.5% 1.2% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 20.5% · Draw 24.9% · Away win 53.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1