Thu, Oct 2 2025 • 19:00 • Stadion Z'dežele
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.92 (league 1.64) 1.73 (league 1.16)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
19.7% 23.7% 55.7%
best score tips
0 - 1
12.3%
1 - 1
11.2%
0 - 2
10.6%
Score & goals probability table
AEK Athens FC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Celje 0 7.1% 12.3% 10.6% 6.1% 2.6% 0.9%
1 6.5% 11.2% 9.7% 5.6% 2.4% 0.8%
2 3.0% 5.1% 4.4% 2.6% 1.1% 0.4%
3 0.9% 1.6% 1.4% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.2% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCeljeAEK Athens FC
Played45
Form75%60%
Attack56%44%
Defense78%78%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 2.58 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 14 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

80%
FT probability

2.5+

56%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Celje AEK Athens FC
HATHAT
Played224336
Wins50%100%75%100%0%50%
Draws0%0%0%0%100%50%
Loses50%0%25%0%0%0%

Form: Celje: WLWW • AEK Athens FC: WDDWDW

League goals

Metric Celje AEK Athens FC
HATHAT
GF total3710639
GF avg1.53.52.52.01.01.5
GA total404134
GA avg2.00.01.00.31.00.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCeljeAEK Athens FC
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%25%83%50%
1.575%25%50%17%
2.525%25%17%0%
3.525%25%0%0%
4.525%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCeljeAEK Athens FC
HATHAT
Clean sheets123213
Failed to score000011

Penalties

MetricCeljeAEK Athens FC
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricCeljeAEK Athens FC
Wins11
Draws02
Losses10

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-00-53-1—
Biggest losses2-4———
Goals For2532
Goals Against4012

Model comparison

MetricCeljeAEK Athens FC
Form50%50%
Att56%44%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution35%65%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total47.8%52.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or AEK Athens FC

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.33 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.79 @ Pinnacle
Away2.13 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.72 @ 1xBet
Under 2.52.23 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.62 @ William Hill
No2.38 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Celje = 0.92 (league 1.64), AEK Athens FC = 1.73 (league 1.16)

AEK Athens FC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Celje 0 7.1% 12.3% 10.6% 6.1% 2.6% 0.9%
1 6.5% 11.2% 9.7% 5.6% 2.4% 0.8%
2 3.0% 5.1% 4.4% 2.6% 1.1% 0.4%
3 0.9% 1.6% 1.4% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.2% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 19.7% · Draw 23.7% · Away win 55.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1