Thu, Oct 23 2025 • 16:45 • Stadion Miejski im. Henryka Reymana
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.61 (league 1.64) 1.73 (league 1.16)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
12.6% 22.8% 63.7%
best score tips
0 - 1
16.7%
0 - 2
14.4%
1 - 1
10.2%
Score & goals probability table
Legia Warszawa
0 1 2 3 4 5
Shakhtar Donetsk 0 9.6% 16.7% 14.4% 8.3% 3.6% 1.2%
1 5.9% 10.2% 8.8% 5.1% 2.2% 0.8%
2 1.8% 3.1% 2.7% 1.5% 0.7% 0.2%
3 0.4% 0.6% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricShakhtar DonetskLegia Warszawa
Played33
Form78%44%
Attack33%28%
Defense78%72%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 25 | 1.7
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 1.35 | 1.7

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

84%
FT probability

2.5+

59%
FT probability

3.5+

42%
FT probability

BTTS

88%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Shakhtar Donetsk Legia Warszawa
HATHAT
Played123213
Wins0%100%67%0%100%33%
Draws100%0%33%50%0%33%
Loses0%0%0%50%0%33%

Form: Shakhtar Donetsk: DWW • Legia Warszawa: WDL

League goals

Metric Shakhtar Donetsk Legia Warszawa
HATHAT
GF total156325
GF avg1.02.52.01.52.01.7
GA total134415
GA avg1.01.51.32.01.01.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineShakhtar DonetskLegia Warszawa
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%100%67%100%
1.567%33%67%33%
2.533%0%33%33%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricShakhtar DonetskLegia Warszawa
HATHAT
Clean sheets000000
Failed to score000101

Penalties

MetricShakhtar DonetskLegia Warszawa
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricShakhtar DonetskLegia Warszawa
Wins01
Draws11
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—2-3—1-2
Biggest losses——0-1—
Goals For1332
Goals Against1231

Model comparison

MetricShakhtar DonetskLegia Warszawa
Form64%36%
Att55%45%
Def56%44%
Poisson Distribution26%74%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total50.3%49.8%

Advice: Double chance : Shakhtar Donetsk or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.11 @ Pinnacle
Draw4.00 @ Superbet
Away4.40 @ Dafabet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.05 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.17 @ Superbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.85 @ Pinnacle
No2.17 @ Superbet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Shakhtar Donetsk = 0.61 (league 1.64), Legia Warszawa = 1.73 (league 1.16)

Legia Warszawa
0 1 2 3 4 5
Shakhtar Donetsk 0 9.6% 16.7% 14.4% 8.3% 3.6% 1.2%
1 5.9% 10.2% 8.8% 5.1% 2.2% 0.8%
2 1.8% 3.1% 2.7% 1.5% 0.7% 0.2%
3 0.4% 0.6% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 12.6% · Draw 22.8% · Away win 63.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1