Thu, Oct 23 2025 • 16:45 • AFAS Stadion
Match Finished
Expected Goals
4.81 (league 1.66) 0.25 (league 1.18)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
62.9% 1.7% 0.3%
best score tips
4 - 0
14.1%
5 - 0
13.6%
3 - 0
11.7%
Score & goals probability table
Slovan Bratislava
0 1 2 3 4 5
AZ Alkmaar 0 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 3.0% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 7.3% 1.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 11.7% 3.0% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 14.1% 3.6% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 13.6% 3.4% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAZ AlkmaarSlovan Bratislava
Played51
Form80%0%
Attack56%6%
Defense72%89%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 21 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 12 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

80%
FT probability

2.5+

56%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

74%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric AZ Alkmaar Slovan Bratislava
HATHAT
Played347101
Wins100%50%71%0%—0%
Draws0%0%0%0%—0%
Loses0%50%29%100%—100%

Form: AZ Alkmaar: LWWWWWL • Slovan Bratislava: L

League goals

Metric AZ Alkmaar Slovan Bratislava
HATHAT
GF total12618101
GF avg4.01.52.61.00.01.0
GA total189202
GA avg0.32.01.32.00.02.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAZ AlkmaarSlovan Bratislava
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.586%43%100%100%
1.571%29%0%100%
2.557%29%0%0%
3.529%29%0%0%
4.514%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAZ AlkmaarSlovan Bratislava
HATHAT
Clean sheets224000
Failed to score011000

Penalties

MetricAZ AlkmaarSlovan Bratislava
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricAZ AlkmaarSlovan Bratislava
Wins50
Draws00
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-00-2——
Biggest losses—4-01-2—
Goals For5310
Goals Against1420

Model comparison

MetricAZ AlkmaarSlovan Bratislava
Form100%0%
Att91%9%
Def29%71%
Poisson Distribution0%0%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total60.0%40.0%

Advice: Double chance : AZ Alkmaar or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.33 @ Superbet
Draw6.33 @ Pinnacle
Away10.80 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.48 @ Superbet
Under 2.53.01 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.81 @ 188Bet
No2.10 @ 10Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): AZ Alkmaar = 4.81 (league 1.66), Slovan Bratislava = 0.25 (league 1.18)

Slovan Bratislava
0 1 2 3 4 5
AZ Alkmaar 0 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 3.0% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 7.3% 1.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 11.7% 3.0% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 14.1% 3.6% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 13.6% 3.4% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 62.9% · Draw 1.7% · Away win 0.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1