Thu, Nov 6 2025 • 17:45 • epet ARENA
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.71 (league 1.64) 0.86 (league 1.16)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
56.5% 23.8% 18.8%
best score tips
1 - 0
13.0%
1 - 1
11.3%
2 - 0
11.1%
Score & goals probability table
Raków Częstochowa
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sparta Praha 0 7.6% 6.6% 2.9% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
1 13.0% 11.3% 4.9% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
2 11.1% 9.6% 4.2% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
3 6.3% 5.5% 2.4% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.7% 2.3% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.9% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSparta PrahaRaków Częstochowa
Played55
Form60%87%
Attack100%100%
Defense33%67%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.68 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.82 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

86%
FT probability

2.5+

61%
FT probability

3.5+

43%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Sparta Praha Raków Częstochowa
HATHAT
Played448448
Wins100%25%63%75%75%75%
Draws0%0%0%0%25%13%
Loses0%75%38%25%0%13%

Form: Sparta Praha: LWWWWLWL • Raków Częstochowa: WWLWWWWD

League goals

Metric Sparta Praha Raków Częstochowa
HATHAT
GF total143176814
GF avg3.50.82.11.52.01.8
GA total257134
GA avg0.51.30.90.30.80.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSparta PrahaRaków Częstochowa
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%75%88%50%
1.563%13%63%0%
2.538%0%25%0%
3.538%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSparta PrahaRaków Częstochowa
HATHAT
Clean sheets202314
Failed to score022101

Penalties

MetricSparta PrahaRaków Częstochowa
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total22

Streaks

MetricSparta PrahaRaków Częstochowa
Wins44
Draws00
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-01-23-01-3
Biggest losses2-10-1
Goals For4233
Goals Against1211

Model comparison

MetricSparta PrahaRaków Częstochowa
Form41%59%
Att50%50%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution65%35%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total47.3%52.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Raków Częstochowa

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.04 @ 1xBet
Draw3.50 @ 188Bet
Away4.30 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.20 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.82 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.00 @ Unibet
No1.98 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Sparta Praha = 1.71 (league 1.64), Raków Częstochowa = 0.86 (league 1.16)

Raków Częstochowa
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sparta Praha 0 7.6% 6.6% 2.9% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
1 13.0% 11.3% 4.9% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
2 11.1% 9.6% 4.2% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
3 6.3% 5.5% 2.4% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.7% 2.3% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.9% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 56.5% · Draw 23.8% · Away win 18.8%

Vtot 7 , Vtod1