Thu, Nov 6 2025 • 17:45 • Stadion Z'dežele
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.20 (league 1.67) 2.83 (league 1.20)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
13.4% 15.3% 64.4%
best score tips
1 - 2
8.5%
1 - 3
8.1%
0 - 2
7.1%
Score & goals probability table
Legia Warszawa
0 1 2 3 4 5
Celje 0 1.8% 5.0% 7.1% 6.7% 4.8% 2.7%
1 2.1% 6.0% 8.5% 8.1% 5.7% 3.2%
2 1.3% 3.6% 5.1% 4.8% 3.4% 1.9%
3 0.5% 1.4% 2.0% 1.9% 1.4% 0.8%
4 0.2% 0.4% 0.6% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCeljeLegia Warszawa
Played54
Form80%58%
Attack100%100%
Defense17%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 27 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 16 | 1.5

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

67%
FT probability

3.5+

48%
FT probability

BTTS

81%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Celje Legia Warszawa
HATHAT
Played336224
Wins67%100%83%0%100%50%
Draws0%0%0%50%0%25%
Loses33%0%17%50%0%25%

Form: Celje: WLWWWW • Legia Warszawa: WDLW

League goals

Metric Celje Legia Warszawa
HATHAT
GF total6915347
GF avg2.03.02.51.52.01.8
GA total505426
GA avg1.70.00.82.01.01.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCeljeLegia Warszawa
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%33%75%100%
1.583%17%75%25%
2.533%17%25%25%
3.517%17%0%0%
4.517%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCeljeLegia Warszawa
HATHAT
Clean sheets134000
Failed to score000101

Penalties

MetricCeljeLegia Warszawa
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricCeljeLegia Warszawa
Wins11
Draws01
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-5—1-2
Biggest losses2-4—0-1—
Goals For3532
Goals Against4031

Model comparison

MetricCeljeLegia Warszawa
Form63%37%
Att59%41%
Def55%45%
Poisson Distribution29%71%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total51.5%48.5%

Advice: Double chance : Celje or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.36 @ 1xBet
Draw3.69 @ Pinnacle
Away3.13 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.81 @ SBO
Under 2.52.10 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.63 @ 188Bet
No2.38 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Celje = 1.20 (league 1.67), Legia Warszawa = 2.83 (league 1.20)

Legia Warszawa
0 1 2 3 4 5
Celje 0 1.8% 5.0% 7.1% 6.7% 4.8% 2.7%
1 2.1% 6.0% 8.5% 8.1% 5.7% 3.2%
2 1.3% 3.6% 5.1% 4.8% 3.4% 1.9%
3 0.5% 1.4% 2.0% 1.9% 1.4% 0.8%
4 0.2% 0.4% 0.6% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 13.4% · Draw 15.3% · Away win 64.4%

Vtot 7 , Vtod1