Thu, Nov 6 2025 • 17:45 • Mewa Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.76 (league 1.64) 1.30 (league 1.16)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
21.9% 28.8% 49.0%
best score tips
0 - 1
16.5%
0 - 0
12.7%
1 - 1
12.6%
Score & goals probability table
Fiorentina
0 1 2 3 4 5
FSV Mainz 05 0 12.7% 16.5% 10.7% 4.6% 1.5% 0.4%
1 9.7% 12.6% 8.2% 3.5% 1.1% 0.3%
2 3.7% 4.8% 3.1% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
3 0.9% 1.2% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFSV Mainz 05Fiorentina
Played44
Form75%100%
Attack100%100%
Defense50%67%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.811 | 2.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.82 | 0.5

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

85%
FT probability

2.5+

60%
FT probability

3.5+

43%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric FSV Mainz 05 Fiorentina
HATHAT
Played224224
Wins100%50%75%100%100%100%
Draws0%0%0%0%0%0%
Loses0%50%25%0%0%0%

Form: FSV Mainz 05: LWWW • Fiorentina: WWWW

League goals

Metric FSV Mainz 05 Fiorentina
HATHAT
GF total5275611
GF avg2.51.01.82.53.02.8
GA total123202
GA avg0.51.00.81.00.00.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFSV Mainz 05Fiorentina
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%50%100%25%
1.525%25%100%25%
2.525%0%75%0%
3.525%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFSV Mainz 05Fiorentina
HATHAT
Clean sheets112123
Failed to score000000

Penalties

MetricFSV Mainz 05Fiorentina
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricFSV Mainz 05Fiorentina
Wins04
Draws00
Losses10

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-10-12-00-3
Biggest losses—2-1——
Goals For4133
Goals Against1220

Model comparison

MetricFSV Mainz 05Fiorentina
Form43%57%
Att39%61%
Def40%60%
Poisson Distribution0%100%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total40.7%59.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Fiorentina

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.30 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.36 @ 1xBet
Away3.36 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.14 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.78 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.86 @ Unibet
No1.99 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): FSV Mainz 05 = 0.76 (league 1.64), Fiorentina = 1.30 (league 1.16)

Fiorentina
0 1 2 3 4 5
FSV Mainz 05 0 12.7% 16.5% 10.7% 4.6% 1.5% 0.4%
1 9.7% 12.6% 8.2% 3.5% 1.1% 0.3%
2 3.7% 4.8% 3.1% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
3 0.9% 1.2% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 21.9% · Draw 28.8% · Away win 49.0%

Vtot 8 , Vtod1