Thu, Nov 6 2025 • 20:00 • Selhurst Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.61 (league 1.64) 0.65 (league 1.16)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
28.4% 40.8% 30.8%
best score tips
0 - 0
28.4%
0 - 1
18.4%
1 - 0
17.3%
Score & goals probability table
AZ Alkmaar
0 1 2 3 4 5
Crystal Palace 0 28.4% 18.4% 6.0% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0%
1 17.3% 11.2% 3.6% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
2 5.3% 3.4% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 1.1% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCrystal PalaceAZ Alkmaar
Played45
Form58%80%
Attack50%100%
Defense83%17%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.88 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)1 | 0.35 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

65%
FT probability

2.5+

46%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

52%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Crystal Palace AZ Alkmaar
HATHAT
Played224448
Wins50%50%50%100%50%75%
Draws0%50%25%0%0%0%
Loses50%0%25%0%50%25%

Form: Crystal Palace: WDWL • AZ Alkmaar: LWWWWWLW

League goals

Metric Crystal Palace AZ Alkmaar
HATHAT
GF total12313619
GF avg0.51.00.83.31.52.4
GA total101189
GA avg0.50.00.30.32.01.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCrystal PalaceAZ Alkmaar
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%25%88%38%
1.525%0%63%25%
2.50%0%50%25%
3.50%0%25%25%
4.50%0%13%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCrystal PalaceAZ Alkmaar
HATHAT
Clean sheets123325
Failed to score112011

Penalties

MetricCrystal PalaceAZ Alkmaar
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricCrystal PalaceAZ Alkmaar
Wins15
Draws10
Losses01

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-00-25-00-2
Biggest losses0-1——4-0
Goals For1253
Goals Against1014

Model comparison

MetricCrystal PalaceAZ Alkmaar
Form37%63%
Att27%73%
Def83%17%
Poisson Distribution48%52%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total48.8%51.3%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or AZ Alkmaar and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.47 @ 1xBet
Draw4.91 @ Pinnacle
Away7.30 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.65 @ 1xBet
Under 2.52.40 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.80 @ Bet365
No2.07 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Crystal Palace = 0.61 (league 1.64), AZ Alkmaar = 0.65 (league 1.16)

AZ Alkmaar
0 1 2 3 4 5
Crystal Palace 0 28.4% 18.4% 6.0% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0%
1 17.3% 11.2% 3.6% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
2 5.3% 3.4% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 1.1% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 28.4% · Draw 40.8% · Away win 30.8%

Vtot 12 , Vtod1