Thu, Nov 6 2025 • 20:00 • Estadio de Vallecas
Match Finished
Expected Goals
3.66 (league 1.64) 0.43 (league 1.16)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
76.2% 5.6% 1.8%
best score tips
3 - 0
13.6%
4 - 0
12.5%
2 - 0
11.2%
Score & goals probability table
Lech Poznan
0 1 2 3 4 5
Rayo Vallecano 0 1.7% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 6.1% 2.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 11.2% 4.8% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 13.6% 5.9% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 12.5% 5.4% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 9.1% 4.0% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricRayo VallecanoLech Poznan
Played42
Form83%50%
Attack100%83%
Defense67%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 2.35 | 2.5
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.53 | 1.5

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

91%
FT probability

2.5+

64%
FT probability

3.5+

46%
FT probability

BTTS

75%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Rayo Vallecano Lech Poznan
HATHAT
Played224112
Wins100%50%75%100%0%50%
Draws0%50%25%0%0%0%
Loses0%0%0%0%100%50%

Form: Rayo Vallecano: WWWD • Lech Poznan: WL

League goals

Metric Rayo Vallecano Lech Poznan
HATHAT
GF total639415
GF avg3.01.52.34.01.02.5
GA total022123
GA avg0.01.00.51.02.01.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineRayo VallecanoLech Poznan
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%25%100%100%
1.575%25%50%50%
2.525%0%50%0%
3.525%0%50%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricRayo VallecanoLech Poznan
HATHAT
Clean sheets213000
Failed to score000000

Penalties

MetricRayo VallecanoLech Poznan
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricRayo VallecanoLech Poznan
Wins31
Draws00
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-14-1—
Biggest losses———2-1
Goals For4241
Goals Against0212

Model comparison

MetricRayo VallecanoLech Poznan
Form77%23%
Att64%36%
Def60%40%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total67.0%33.0%

Advice: Double chance : Rayo Vallecano or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.63 @ 1xBet
Draw4.50 @ Superbet
Away6.20 @ Superbet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.83 @ 1xBet
Under 2.52.22 @ Superbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.87 @ Unibet
No2.05 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Rayo Vallecano = 3.66 (league 1.64), Lech Poznan = 0.43 (league 1.16)

Lech Poznan
0 1 2 3 4 5
Rayo Vallecano 0 1.7% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 6.1% 2.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 11.2% 4.8% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 13.6% 5.9% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 12.5% 5.4% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 9.1% 4.0% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 76.2% · Draw 5.6% · Away win 1.8%

vtt 10 , vtd1