Thu, Nov 27 2025 • 17:45 • AFAS Stadion
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.99 (league 1.66) 0.25 (league 1.18)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
54.1% 36.5% 9.4%
best score tips
0 - 0
28.7%
1 - 0
28.5%
2 - 0
14.1%
Score & goals probability table
Shelbourne
0 1 2 3 4 5
AZ Alkmaar 0 28.7% 7.3% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 28.5% 7.3% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 14.1% 3.6% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 4.7% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAZ AlkmaarShelbourne
Played55
Form60%47%
Attack57%36%
Defense43%79%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.65 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.63 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

73%
FT probability

2.5+

51%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

56%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric AZ Alkmaar Shelbourne
HATHAT
Played459325
Wins100%40%67%33%50%40%
Draws0%0%0%33%0%20%
Loses0%60%33%33%50%40%

Form: AZ Alkmaar: LWWWWWLWL • Shelbourne: WWDLL

League goals

Metric AZ Alkmaar Shelbourne
HATHAT
GF total13720325
GF avg3.31.42.21.01.01.0
GA total11112213
GA avg0.32.21.30.70.50.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAZ AlkmaarShelbourne
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.589%44%40%60%
1.556%33%40%0%
2.544%33%20%0%
3.522%22%0%0%
4.511%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAZ AlkmaarShelbourne
HATHAT
Clean sheets325112
Failed to score011213

Penalties

MetricAZ AlkmaarShelbourne
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricAZ AlkmaarShelbourne
Wins52
Draws01
Losses10

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-00-23-10-2
Biggest losses—4-00-11-0
Goals For5332
Goals Against1411

Model comparison

MetricAZ AlkmaarShelbourne
Form56%44%
Att62%38%
Def27%73%
Poisson Distribution82%18%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total56.8%43.3%

Advice: Combo Double chance : AZ Alkmaar or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.18 @ Betano
Draw9.25 @ 1xBet
Away22.45 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.45 @ Betano
Under 2.53.00 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.41 @ Pinnacle
No1.67 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): AZ Alkmaar = 0.99 (league 1.66), Shelbourne = 0.25 (league 1.18)

Shelbourne
0 1 2 3 4 5
AZ Alkmaar 0 28.7% 7.3% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 28.5% 7.3% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 14.1% 3.6% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 4.7% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 54.1% · Draw 36.5% · Away win 9.4%

Vtot 23 , Vtod1