Thu, Nov 27 2025 • 17:45 • Stadionul Ion Oblemenco
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.68 (league 1.66) 0.42 (league 1.18)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
67.9% 22.5% 8.8%
best score tips
1 - 0
20.5%
2 - 0
17.2%
0 - 0
12.2%
Score & goals probability table
FSV Mainz 05
0 1 2 3 4 5
Universitatea Craiova 0 12.2% 5.2% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 20.5% 8.7% 1.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 17.2% 7.3% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 9.7% 4.1% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 4.1% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.4% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricUniversitatea CraiovaFSV Mainz 05
Played55
Form67%80%
Attack50%64%
Defense64%71%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.49 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 14 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

79%
FT probability

2.5+

56%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Universitatea Craiova FSV Mainz 05
HATHAT
Played459325
Wins75%40%56%100%50%80%
Draws25%0%11%0%0%0%
Loses0%60%33%0%50%20%

Form: Universitatea Craiova: LWWLWWLDW • FSV Mainz 05: LWWWW

League goals

Metric Universitatea Craiova FSV Mainz 05
HATHAT
GF total11718729
GF avg2.81.42.02.31.01.8
GA total2911224
GA avg0.51.81.20.71.00.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineUniversitatea CraiovaFSV Mainz 05
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.589%67%100%60%
1.556%33%40%20%
2.544%11%20%0%
3.511%11%20%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricUniversitatea CraiovaFSV Mainz 05
HATHAT
Clean sheets213112
Failed to score011000

Penalties

MetricUniversitatea CraiovaFSV Mainz 05
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricUniversitatea CraiovaFSV Mainz 05
Wins20
Draws10
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-01-24-10-1
Biggest losses—2-0—2-1
Goals For4341
Goals Against1412

Model comparison

MetricUniversitatea CraiovaFSV Mainz 05
Form45%55%
Att44%56%
Def44%56%
Poisson Distribution79%21%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total53.0%47.0%

Advice: Double chance : Universitatea Craiova or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.47 @ 1xBet
Draw3.90 @ Betano
Away1.85 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.88 @ 1xBet
Under 2.52.05 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.78 @ Pinnacle
No2.09 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Universitatea Craiova = 1.68 (league 1.66), FSV Mainz 05 = 0.42 (league 1.18)

FSV Mainz 05
0 1 2 3 4 5
Universitatea Craiova 0 12.2% 5.2% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 20.5% 8.7% 1.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 17.2% 7.3% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 9.7% 4.1% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 4.1% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.4% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 67.9% · Draw 22.5% · Away win 8.8%

Vtot 30 , Vtod1