Thu, Nov 27 2025 • 20:00 • Stadion Wojska Polskiego
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.19 (league 1.64) 1.38 (league 1.16)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
32.1% 26.4% 41.1%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.6%
0 - 1
10.6%
1 - 0
9.1%
Score & goals probability table
Sparta Praha
0 1 2 3 4 5
Legia Warszawa 0 7.6% 10.6% 7.3% 3.4% 1.2% 0.3%
1 9.1% 12.6% 8.7% 4.0% 1.4% 0.4%
2 5.4% 7.5% 5.2% 2.4% 0.8% 0.2%
3 2.1% 3.0% 2.0% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.6% 0.9% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLegia WarszawaSparta Praha
Played55
Form47%47%
Attack57%43%
Defense43%79%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.66 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.63 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

82%
FT probability

2.5+

58%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Legia Warszawa Sparta Praha
HATHAT
Played235549
Wins0%67%40%80%25%56%
Draws50%0%20%20%0%11%
Loses50%33%40%0%75%33%

Form: Legia Warszawa: WDLWL • Sparta Praha: LWWWWLWLD

League goals

Metric Legia Warszawa Sparta Praha
HATHAT
GF total35814317
GF avg1.51.71.62.80.81.9
GA total448257
GA avg2.01.31.60.41.30.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLegia WarszawaSparta Praha
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.580%100%67%67%
1.560%40%56%11%
2.520%20%33%0%
3.50%0%33%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLegia WarszawaSparta Praha
HATHAT
Clean sheets000303
Failed to score101123

Penalties

MetricLegia WarszawaSparta Praha
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricLegia WarszawaSparta Praha
Wins14
Draws10
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—1-24-01-2
Biggest losses0-12-1—2-1
Goals For3242
Goals Against3212

Model comparison

MetricLegia WarszawaSparta Praha
Form50%50%
Att57%43%
Def27%73%
Poisson Distribution46%54%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total45.0%55.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Sparta Praha

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.89 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.50 @ Bet365
Away2.56 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.96 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.95 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.74 @ 188Bet
No2.15 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Legia Warszawa = 1.19 (league 1.64), Sparta Praha = 1.38 (league 1.16)

Sparta Praha
0 1 2 3 4 5
Legia Warszawa 0 7.6% 10.6% 7.3% 3.4% 1.2% 0.3%
1 9.1% 12.6% 8.7% 4.0% 1.4% 0.4%
2 5.4% 7.5% 5.2% 2.4% 0.8% 0.2%
3 2.1% 3.0% 2.0% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.6% 0.9% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 32.1% · Draw 26.4% · Away win 41.1%

Vtot 19 , Vtod1