Thu, Nov 27 2025 • 20:00 • Chorten Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.98 (league 1.64) 0.90 (league 1.16)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
36.2% 32.0% 31.8%
best score tips
0 - 0
15.2%
1 - 0
15.0%
0 - 1
13.7%
Score & goals probability table
KuPS
0 1 2 3 4 5
Jagiellonia 0 15.2% 13.7% 6.2% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1%
1 15.0% 13.5% 6.1% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1%
2 7.3% 6.6% 3.0% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 2.4% 2.2% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.6% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricJagielloniaKuPS
Played53
Form60%56%
Attack50%29%
Defense79%86%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.44 | 1.3
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.62 | 0.7

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

54%
FT probability

2.5+

38%
FT probability

3.5+

27%
FT probability

BTTS

53%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Jagiellonia KuPS
HATHAT
Played459213
Wins75%40%56%50%0%33%
Draws25%60%44%50%100%67%
Loses0%0%0%0%0%0%

Form: Jagiellonia: WWWDWDWDD • KuPS: DDW

League goals

Metric Jagiellonia KuPS
HATHAT
GF total9615404
GF avg2.31.21.72.00.01.3
GA total347202
GA avg0.80.80.81.00.00.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineJagielloniaKuPS
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%67%67%67%
1.544%11%33%0%
2.522%0%33%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricJagielloniaKuPS
HATHAT
Clean sheets213011
Failed to score000011

Penalties

MetricJagielloniaKuPS
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricJagielloniaKuPS
Wins30
Draws12
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-23-1—
Biggest losses————
Goals For3230
Goals Against2110

Model comparison

MetricJagielloniaKuPS
Form64%36%
Att64%36%
Def40%60%
Poisson Distribution0%0%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total56.0%44.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Jagiellonia or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.40 @ Betano
Draw5.20 @ 188Bet
Away8.90 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.57 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.51 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.83 @ Pinnacle
No2.07 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Jagiellonia = 0.98 (league 1.64), KuPS = 0.90 (league 1.16)

KuPS
0 1 2 3 4 5
Jagiellonia 0 15.2% 13.7% 6.2% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1%
1 15.0% 13.5% 6.1% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1%
2 7.3% 6.6% 3.0% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 2.4% 2.2% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.6% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 36.2% · Draw 32.0% · Away win 31.8%

Vtot 23 , Vtod1