Thu, Dec 11 2025 • 17:45 • Stadionul Ion Oblemenco
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.46 (league 1.64) 0.28 (league 1.16)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
67.5% 25.4% 6.7%
best score tips
1 - 0
25.7%
2 - 0
18.8%
0 - 0
17.5%
Score & goals probability table
Sparta Praha
0 1 2 3 4 5
Universitatea Craiova 0 17.5% 4.9% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 25.7% 7.1% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 18.8% 5.2% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 9.2% 2.5% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 3.4% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricUniversitatea CraiovaSparta Praha
Played55
Form67%47%
Attack60%50%
Defense60%70%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.25 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.83 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

72%
FT probability

2.5+

51%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Universitatea Craiova Sparta Praha
HATHAT
Played55105510
Wins80%40%60%80%40%60%
Draws20%0%10%20%0%10%
Loses0%60%30%0%60%30%

Form: Universitatea Craiova: LWWLWWLDWW • Sparta Praha: LWWWWLWLDW

League goals

Metric Universitatea Craiova Sparta Praha
HATHAT
GF total1271914418
GF avg2.41.41.92.80.81.8
GA total2911257
GA avg0.41.81.10.41.00.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineUniversitatea CraiovaSparta Praha
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.590%60%70%60%
1.550%30%50%10%
2.540%10%30%0%
3.510%10%30%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricUniversitatea CraiovaSparta Praha
HATHAT
Clean sheets314314
Failed to score011123

Penalties

MetricUniversitatea CraiovaSparta Praha
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricUniversitatea CraiovaSparta Praha
Wins24
Draws11
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-01-24-01-2
Biggest losses—2-0—2-1
Goals For4342
Goals Against1412

Model comparison

MetricUniversitatea CraiovaSparta Praha
Form59%41%
Att55%45%
Def43%57%
Poisson Distribution84%16%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total60.3%39.8%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Universitatea Craiova or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.38 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.30 @ 188Bet
Away2.35 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.28 @ 1xBet
Under 2.51.69 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.94 @ Pinnacle
No1.89 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Universitatea Craiova = 1.46 (league 1.64), Sparta Praha = 0.28 (league 1.16)

Sparta Praha
0 1 2 3 4 5
Universitatea Craiova 0 17.5% 4.9% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 25.7% 7.1% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 18.8% 5.2% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 9.2% 2.5% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 3.4% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 67.5% · Draw 25.4% · Away win 6.7%

Vtot 10 , Vtod1