Thu, Dec 11 2025 • 17:45 • Samsun 19 Mayis Stadyumu
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.20 (league 1.64) 0.43 (league 1.16)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
75.7% 15.9% 5.9%
best score tips
2 - 0
17.4%
1 - 0
15.8%
3 - 0
12.7%
Score & goals probability table
AEK Athens FC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Samsunspor 0 7.2% 3.1% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 15.8% 6.9% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 17.4% 7.5% 1.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 12.7% 5.5% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 7.0% 3.0% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 3.1% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSamsunsporAEK Athens FC
Played45
Form83%67%
Attack90%100%
Defense80%60%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 2.311 | 2.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.54 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%
FT probability

2.5+

53%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

61%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Samsunspor AEK Athens FC
HATHAT
Played2245510
Wins100%50%75%80%20%50%
Draws0%50%25%20%60%40%
Loses0%0%0%0%20%10%

Form: Samsunspor: WWWD • AEK Athens FC: WDDWDWLWDW

League goals

Metric Samsunspor AEK Athens FC
HATHAT
GF total63913518
GF avg3.01.52.32.61.01.8
GA total022268
GA avg0.01.00.50.41.20.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSamsunsporAEK Athens FC
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%25%90%50%
1.575%25%40%20%
2.550%0%20%10%
3.50%0%10%0%
4.50%0%10%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSamsunsporAEK Athens FC
HATHAT
Clean sheets213325
Failed to score000011

Penalties

MetricSamsunsporAEK Athens FC
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total02

Streaks

MetricSamsunsporAEK Athens FC
Wins31
Draws02
Losses01

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-16-00-1
Biggest losses———3-1
Goals For3262
Goals Against0213

Model comparison

MetricSamsunsporAEK Athens FC
Form50%50%
Att45%55%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total54.0%46.0%

Advice: Double chance : Samsunspor or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.88 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.45 @ 188Bet
Away2.61 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.07 @ 1xBet
Under 2.51.86 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.81 @ Pinnacle
No2.04 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Samsunspor = 2.20 (league 1.64), AEK Athens FC = 0.43 (league 1.16)

AEK Athens FC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Samsunspor 0 7.2% 3.1% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 15.8% 6.9% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 17.4% 7.5% 1.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 12.7% 5.5% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 7.0% 3.0% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 3.1% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 75.7% · Draw 15.9% · Away win 5.9%

vtt 11 , vtd1