Thu, Dec 11 2025 • 17:45 • Chorten Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.59 (league 1.64) 0.67 (league 1.16)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
58.9% 24.9% 15.6%
best score tips
1 - 0
16.6%
2 - 0
13.2%
1 - 1
11.1%
Score & goals probability table
Rayo Vallecano
0 1 2 3 4 5
Jagiellonia 0 10.4% 7.0% 2.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 16.6% 11.1% 3.7% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
2 13.2% 8.8% 3.0% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 7.0% 4.7% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.8% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.9% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricJagielloniaRayo Vallecano
Played55
Form60%67%
Attack50%100%
Defense70%40%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 112 | 2.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.66 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%
FT probability

2.5+

54%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Jagiellonia Rayo Vallecano
HATHAT
Played5510336
Wins80%40%60%100%33%67%
Draws20%60%40%0%33%17%
Loses0%0%0%0%33%17%

Form: Jagiellonia: WWWDWDWDDW • Rayo Vallecano: WWWDWL

League goals

Metric Jagiellonia Rayo Vallecano
HATHAT
GF total106169413
GF avg2.01.21.63.01.32.2
GA total347246
GA avg0.60.80.70.71.31.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineJagielloniaRayo Vallecano
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%60%100%50%
1.540%10%67%50%
2.520%0%33%0%
3.50%0%17%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricJagielloniaRayo Vallecano
HATHAT
Clean sheets314213
Failed to score000000

Penalties

MetricJagielloniaRayo Vallecano
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricJagielloniaRayo Vallecano
Wins33
Draws21
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-24-00-1
Biggest losses———2-1
Goals For3242
Goals Against2122

Model comparison

MetricJagielloniaRayo Vallecano
Form47%53%
Att29%71%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution69%31%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total53.0%47.0%

Advice: Double chance : Jagiellonia or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.83 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.64 @ 1xBet
Away2.06 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.90 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.00 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.73 @ Betfair
No2.18 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Jagiellonia = 1.59 (league 1.64), Rayo Vallecano = 0.67 (league 1.16)

Rayo Vallecano
0 1 2 3 4 5
Jagiellonia 0 10.4% 7.0% 2.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 16.6% 11.1% 3.7% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
2 13.2% 8.8% 3.0% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 7.0% 4.7% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.8% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.9% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 58.9% · Draw 24.9% · Away win 15.6%

vtt 10 , vtd1