Thu, Dec 18 2025 • 20:00 • Mewa Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.40 (league 1.64) 0.91 (league 1.16)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
48.2% 27.2% 24.3%
best score tips
1 - 0
13.9%
1 - 1
12.6%
0 - 0
9.9%
Score & goals probability table
Samsunspor
0 1 2 3 4 5
FSV Mainz 05 0 9.9% 9.0% 4.1% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
1 13.9% 12.6% 5.7% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
2 9.8% 8.9% 4.0% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
3 4.6% 4.1% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.6% 1.5% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFSV Mainz 05Samsunspor
Played55
Form67%67%
Attack63%100%
Defense63%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 110 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.64 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%
FT probability

2.5+

53%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric FSV Mainz 05 Samsunspor
HATHAT
Played347325
Wins100%25%57%67%50%60%
Draws0%25%14%0%50%20%
Loses0%50%29%33%0%20%

Form: FSV Mainz 05: LWWWWLD • Samsunspor: WWWDL

League goals

Metric FSV Mainz 05 Samsunspor
HATHAT
GF total73107310
GF avg2.30.81.42.31.52.0
GA total246224
GA avg0.71.00.90.71.00.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFSV Mainz 05Samsunspor
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.586%71%100%40%
1.529%14%60%40%
2.514%0%40%0%
3.514%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFSV Mainz 05Samsunspor
HATHAT
Clean sheets112213
Failed to score011000

Penalties

MetricFSV Mainz 05Samsunspor
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricFSV Mainz 05Samsunspor
Wins43
Draws01
Losses10

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-10-13-00-1
Biggest losses—2-11-2—
Goals For4132
Goals Against1222

Model comparison

MetricFSV Mainz 05Samsunspor
Form50%50%
Att33%67%
Def57%43%
Poisson Distribution62%38%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total50.5%49.5%

Advice: Double chance : FSV Mainz 05 or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.87 @ Betano
Draw4.20 @ 188Bet
Away5.20 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.69 @ 1xBet
Under 2.52.28 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.71 @ 188Bet
No2.30 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): FSV Mainz 05 = 1.40 (league 1.64), Samsunspor = 0.91 (league 1.16)

Samsunspor
0 1 2 3 4 5
FSV Mainz 05 0 9.9% 9.0% 4.1% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
1 13.9% 12.6% 5.7% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
2 9.8% 8.9% 4.0% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
3 4.6% 4.1% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.6% 1.5% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 48.2% · Draw 27.2% · Away win 24.3%

vtt 17 , vtd1