Thu, Dec 18 2025 • 20:00 • Stade de la Tuiliere
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.11 (league 1.64) 1.19 (league 1.16)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
33.7% 28.3% 37.8%
best score tips
1 - 1
13.2%
0 - 1
11.9%
1 - 0
11.1%
Score & goals probability table
Fiorentina
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lausanne 0 10.0% 11.9% 7.1% 2.8% 0.8% 0.2%
1 11.1% 13.2% 7.9% 3.1% 0.9% 0.2%
2 6.2% 7.3% 4.4% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
3 2.3% 2.7% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
4 0.6% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLausanneFiorentina
Played55
Form53%60%
Attack63%100%
Defense63%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 18 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.64 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

81%
FT probability

2.5+

57%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Lausanne Fiorentina
HATHAT
Played5611437
Wins60%50%55%75%67%71%
Draws40%17%27%0%0%0%
Loses0%33%18%25%33%29%

Form: Lausanne: LWWWDWWWDLD • Fiorentina: WWWWLLW

League goals

Metric Lausanne Fiorentina
HATHAT
GF total135187714
GF avg2.60.81.61.82.32.0
GA total347426
GA avg0.60.70.61.00.70.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLausanneFiorentina
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.582%45%86%57%
1.536%18%71%29%
2.527%0%43%0%
3.59%0%0%0%
4.59%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLausanneFiorentina
HATHAT
Clean sheets246123
Failed to score022101

Penalties

MetricLausanneFiorentina
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricLausanneFiorentina
Wins34
Draws10
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-00-22-00-3
Biggest losses—2-00-12-1
Goals For5233
Goals Against1222

Model comparison

MetricLausanneFiorentina
Form47%53%
Att38%62%
Def57%43%
Poisson Distribution46%54%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total47.0%53.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Fiorentina

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.93 @ 1xBet
Draw3.90 @ Superbet
Away2.01 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.83 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.40 @ Superbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.67 @ 188Bet
No2.37 @ Superbet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Lausanne = 1.11 (league 1.64), Fiorentina = 1.19 (league 1.16)

Fiorentina
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lausanne 0 10.0% 11.9% 7.1% 2.8% 0.8% 0.2%
1 11.1% 13.2% 7.9% 3.1% 0.9% 0.2%
2 6.2% 7.3% 4.4% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
3 2.3% 2.7% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
4 0.6% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 33.7% · Draw 28.3% · Away win 37.8%

Vtot 20 , Vtod1