Thu, Dec 18 2025 • 20:00 • Stadion Miejski im. Henryka Reymana
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.79 (league 1.64) 0.43 (league 1.16)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
41.1% 40.3% 18.6%
best score tips
0 - 0
29.4%
1 - 0
23.3%
0 - 1
12.7%
Score & goals probability table
HNK Rijeka
0 1 2 3 4 5
Shakhtar Donetsk 0 29.4% 12.7% 2.7% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
1 23.3% 10.1% 2.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 9.2% 4.0% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 2.4% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricShakhtar DonetskHNK Rijeka
Played55
Form80%53%
Attack100%63%
Defense38%75%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 25 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 12 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

58%
FT probability

2.5+

41%
FT probability

3.5+

29%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Shakhtar Donetsk HNK Rijeka
HATHAT
Played347325
Wins33%100%71%67%0%40%
Draws33%0%14%33%50%40%
Loses33%0%14%0%50%20%

Form: Shakhtar Donetsk: DWWLWWW • HNK Rijeka: LWDDW

League goals

Metric Shakhtar Donetsk HNK Rijeka
HATHAT
GF total4913415
GF avg1.32.31.91.30.51.0
GA total347022
GA avg1.01.01.00.01.00.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineShakhtar DonetskHNK Rijeka
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%71%60%40%
1.571%29%20%0%
2.514%0%20%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricShakhtar DonetskHNK Rijeka
HATHAT
Clean sheets112303
Failed to score000112

Penalties

MetricShakhtar DonetskHNK Rijeka
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricShakhtar DonetskHNK Rijeka
Wins21
Draws12
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-23-0—
Biggest losses1-2——1-0
Goals For2331
Goals Against2201

Model comparison

MetricShakhtar DonetskHNK Rijeka
Form60%40%
Att67%33%
Def29%71%
Poisson Distribution65%35%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total55.3%44.8%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Shakhtar Donetsk or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.92 @ 188Bet
Draw3.70 @ Betano
Away4.40 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.25 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.00 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.00 @ Bet365
No2.10 @ Superbet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Shakhtar Donetsk = 0.79 (league 1.64), HNK Rijeka = 0.43 (league 1.16)

HNK Rijeka
0 1 2 3 4 5
Shakhtar Donetsk 0 29.4% 12.7% 2.7% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
1 23.3% 10.1% 2.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 9.2% 4.0% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 2.4% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 41.1% · Draw 40.3% · Away win 18.6%

Vtot 13 , Vtod1