Thu, Dec 18 2025 • 20:00 • Estadio de Vallecas
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.55 (league 1.64) 0.61 (league 1.16)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
26.7% 42.9% 30.4%
best score tips
0 - 0
31.5%
0 - 1
19.1%
1 - 0
17.3%
Score & goals probability table
Drita
0 1 2 3 4 5
Rayo Vallecano 0 31.5% 19.1% 5.8% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
1 17.3% 10.5% 3.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 4.8% 2.9% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricRayo VallecanoDrita
Played55
Form67%53%
Attack100%50%
Defense13%38%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 24 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.45 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

71%
FT probability

2.5+

50%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Rayo Vallecano Drita
HATHAT
Played347437
Wins100%50%71%50%67%57%
Draws0%25%14%25%33%29%
Loses0%25%14%25%0%14%

Form: Rayo Vallecano: WWWDWLW • Drita: WWDDWWL

League goals

Metric Rayo Vallecano Drita
HATHAT
GF total9615437
GF avg3.01.52.11.01.01.0
GA total257516
GA avg0.71.31.01.30.30.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineRayo VallecanoDrita
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%57%86%57%
1.571%43%14%14%
2.529%0%0%14%
3.514%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricRayo VallecanoDrita
HATHAT
Clean sheets213123
Failed to score000101

Penalties

MetricRayo VallecanoDrita
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricRayo VallecanoDrita
Wins32
Draws12
Losses10

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-01-22-10-1
Biggest losses—2-10-3—
Goals For4221
Goals Against2231

Model comparison

MetricRayo VallecanoDrita
Form56%44%
Att71%29%
Def42%58%
Poisson Distribution51%49%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total55.0%45.0%

Advice: Double chance : Rayo Vallecano or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.22 @ Betano
Draw7.85 @ 1xBet
Away22.00 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.50 @ Betano
Under 2.52.67 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.34 @ 188Bet
No1.73 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Rayo Vallecano = 0.55 (league 1.64), Drita = 0.61 (league 1.16)

Drita
0 1 2 3 4 5
Rayo Vallecano 0 31.5% 19.1% 5.8% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
1 17.3% 10.5% 3.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 4.8% 2.9% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 26.7% · Draw 42.9% · Away win 30.4%

Vtot 13 , Vtod1