Thu, Dec 18 2025 • 20:00 • AEK Arena - George Karapatakis
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.83 (league 1.64) 0.14 (league 1.16)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
78.8% 17.7% 2.3%
best score tips
1 - 0
25.6%
2 - 0
23.4%
3 - 0
14.3%
Score & goals probability table
Shkendija
0 1 2 3 4 5
AEK Larnaca 0 14.0% 1.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 25.6% 3.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 23.4% 3.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 14.3% 2.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 6.5% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 2.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAEK LarnacaShkendija
Played55
Form60%47%
Attack75%50%
Defense88%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.24 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)1 | 0.24 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

46%
FT probability

2.5+

33%
FT probability

3.5+

23%
FT probability

BTTS

42%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric AEK Larnaca Shkendija
HATHAT
Played235325
Wins50%33%40%67%0%40%
Draws50%67%60%33%0%20%
Loses0%0%0%0%100%40%

Form: AEK Larnaca: WWDDD • Shkendija: LWDLW

League goals

Metric AEK Larnaca Shkendija
HATHAT
GF total426404
GF avg2.00.71.21.30.00.8
GA total011134
GA avg0.00.30.20.31.50.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAEK LarnacaShkendija
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.560%20%60%60%
1.520%0%20%20%
2.520%0%0%0%
3.520%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAEK LarnacaShkendija
HATHAT
Clean sheets224202
Failed to score112022

Penalties

MetricAEK LarnacaShkendija
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricAEK LarnacaShkendija
Wins21
Draws01
Losses01

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-12-0—
Biggest losses———2-0
Goals For4120
Goals Against0112

Model comparison

MetricAEK LarnacaShkendija
Form56%44%
Att60%40%
Def80%20%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total65.3%34.7%

Advice: Combo Double chance : AEK Larnaca or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.57 @ 188Bet
Draw4.90 @ Superbet
Away7.50 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.80 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.23 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.15 @ 188Bet
No1.94 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): AEK Larnaca = 1.83 (league 1.64), Shkendija = 0.14 (league 1.16)

Shkendija
0 1 2 3 4 5
AEK Larnaca 0 14.0% 1.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 25.6% 3.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 23.4% 3.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 14.3% 2.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 6.5% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 2.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 78.8% · Draw 17.7% · Away win 2.3%

Vtot 8 , Vtod1