Thu, Dec 18 2025 • 20:00 • OPAP Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.86 (league 1.64) 0.48 (league 1.16)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
78.6% 10.4% 4.0%
best score tips
2 - 0
14.4%
3 - 0
13.8%
1 - 0
10.1%
Score & goals probability table
Universitatea Craiova
0 1 2 3 4 5
AEK Athens FC 0 3.5% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 10.1% 4.9% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 14.4% 7.0% 1.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 13.8% 6.7% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 9.8% 4.8% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 5.6% 2.7% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAEK Athens FCUniversitatea Craiova
Played55
Form67%47%
Attack100%50%
Defense38%38%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.24 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 15 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

84%
FT probability

2.5+

59%
FT probability

3.5+

42%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric AEK Athens FC Universitatea Craiova
HATHAT
Played56116511
Wins80%33%55%67%40%55%
Draws20%50%36%17%0%9%
Loses0%17%9%17%60%36%

Form: AEK Athens FC: WDDWDWLWDWW • Universitatea Craiova: LWWLWWLDWWL

League goals

Metric AEK Athens FC Universitatea Craiova
HATHAT
GF total1372013720
GF avg2.61.21.82.21.41.8
GA total2794913
GA avg0.41.20.80.71.81.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAEK Athens FCUniversitatea Craiova
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.591%55%91%64%
1.545%18%45%36%
2.518%9%36%9%
3.59%0%9%9%
4.59%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAEK Athens FCUniversitatea Craiova
HATHAT
Clean sheets325314
Failed to score011011

Penalties

MetricAEK Athens FCUniversitatea Craiova
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricAEK Athens FCUniversitatea Craiova
Wins12
Draws21
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins6-01-24-01-2
Biggest losses—3-11-22-0
Goals For6243
Goals Against1324

Model comparison

MetricAEK Athens FCUniversitatea Craiova
Form59%41%
Att73%27%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution85%15%
H2h80%20%
Goals75%25%
Total70.3%29.7%

Advice: Winner : AEK Athens FC

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.41 @ 188Bet
Draw5.20 @ Pinnacle
Away10.25 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.89 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.10 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.19 @ 188Bet
No1.74 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): AEK Athens FC = 2.86 (league 1.64), Universitatea Craiova = 0.48 (league 1.16)

Universitatea Craiova
0 1 2 3 4 5
AEK Athens FC 0 3.5% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 10.1% 4.9% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 14.4% 7.0% 1.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 13.8% 6.7% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 9.8% 4.8% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 5.6% 2.7% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 78.6% · Draw 10.4% · Away win 4.0%

Vtot 9 , Vtod1