Sun, Sep 28 2025 • 17:00 • Huvepharma Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
4.29 (league 1.34) 0.23 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
70.9% 2.4% 0.4%
best score tips
4 - 0
15.4%
3 - 0
14.3%
5 - 0
13.2%
Score & goals probability table
Montana
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ludogorets 0 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 4.7% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 10.0% 2.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 14.3% 3.3% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 15.4% 3.5% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 13.2% 3.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLudogoretsMontana
Played55
Form60%60%
Attack60%60%
Defense80%60%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.26 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.44 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

73%
FT probability

2.5+

51%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

59%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Ludogorets Montana
HATHAT
Played448549
Wins75%50%63%40%25%33%
Draws25%50%38%40%0%22%
Loses0%0%0%20%75%44%

Form: Ludogorets: WWWWDWDD • Montana: LDLDLWWWL

League goals

Metric Ludogorets Montana
HATHAT
GF total9514527
GF avg2.31.31.81.00.50.8
GA total21331013
GA avg0.50.30.40.62.51.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLudogoretsMontana
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%38%67%56%
1.550%0%11%44%
2.525%0%0%22%
3.513%0%0%11%
4.513%0%0%11%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLudogoretsMontana
HATHAT
Clean sheets235314
Failed to score112123

Penalties

MetricLudogoretsMontana
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total31

Streaks

MetricLudogoretsMontana
Wins43
Draws11
Losses01

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-00-32-00-1
Biggest losses1-25-0
Goals For5321
Goals Against1125

Model comparison

MetricLudogoretsMontana
Form50%50%
Att50%50%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution94%6%
H2h91%9%
Goals90%10%
Total73.7%26.3%

Advice: Winner : Ludogorets

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.11 @ Betano
Draw13.00 @ Betfair
Away56.00 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.52 @ Betano
Under 2.52.75 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes5.50 @ Betfair
No1.44 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Ludogorets = 4.29 (league 1.34), Montana = 0.23 (league 1.09)

Montana
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ludogorets 0 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 4.7% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 10.0% 2.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 14.3% 3.3% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 15.4% 3.5% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 13.2% 3.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 70.9% · Draw 2.4% · Away win 0.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1