Sun, Sep 28 2025 • 12:00 • Stadion Spartak
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.08 (league 1.33) 0.86 (league 1.11)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
63.6% 19.9% 14.5%
best score tips
2 - 0
11.4%
1 - 0
11.0%
2 - 1
9.8%
Score & goals probability table
Slavia Sofia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Spartak Varna 0 5.3% 4.5% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 11.0% 9.5% 4.1% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
2 11.4% 9.8% 4.2% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
3 7.9% 6.8% 2.9% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
4 4.1% 3.6% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.7% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSpartak VarnaSlavia Sofia
Played55
Form47%33%
Attack70%60%
Defense40%30%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.46 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.27 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

75%
FT probability

2.5+

53%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Spartak Varna Slavia Sofia
HATHAT
Played549549
Wins20%25%22%20%0%11%
Draws40%50%44%60%0%33%
Loses40%25%33%20%100%56%

Form: Spartak Varna: DDDLLDLWW • Slavia Sofia: DLLLLWDLD

League goals

Metric Spartak Varna Slavia Sofia
HATHAT
GF total6410639
GF avg1.21.01.11.20.81.0
GA total64107916
GA avg1.21.01.11.42.31.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSpartak VarnaSlavia Sofia
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.578%67%67%78%
1.522%33%33%78%
2.511%11%0%22%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSpartak VarnaSlavia Sofia
HATHAT
Clean sheets213202
Failed to score112213

Penalties

MetricSpartak VarnaSlavia Sofia
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricSpartak VarnaSlavia Sofia
Wins01
Draws31
Losses24

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-22-0—
Biggest losses1-32-10-33-1
Goals For3221
Goals Against3233

Model comparison

MetricSpartak VarnaSlavia Sofia
Form58%42%
Att54%46%
Def54%46%
Poisson Distribution67%33%
H2h29%71%
Goals38%63%
Total50.0%50.2%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Slavia Sofia

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.46 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.54 @ Pinnacle
Away2.14 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.01 @ 188Bet
Under 2.51.90 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.82 @ 188Bet
No2.06 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Spartak Varna = 2.08 (league 1.33), Slavia Sofia = 0.86 (league 1.11)

Slavia Sofia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Spartak Varna 0 5.3% 4.5% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 11.0% 9.5% 4.1% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
2 11.4% 9.8% 4.2% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
3 7.9% 6.8% 2.9% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
4 4.1% 3.6% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.7% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 63.6% · Draw 19.9% · Away win 14.5%

Vtot 3 , Vtod1