Sat, Sep 27 2025 • 17:00 • Stadion Lokomotiv
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.16 (league 1.34) 0.58 (league 1.11)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
50.1% 31.5% 18.3%
best score tips
1 - 0
20.4%
0 - 0
17.6%
2 - 0
11.9%
Score & goals probability table
CSKA Sofia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lokomotiv Sofia 0 17.6% 10.1% 2.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 20.4% 11.8% 3.4% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 11.9% 6.8% 2.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 4.6% 2.6% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.3% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLokomotiv SofiaCSKA Sofia
Played55
Form20%33%
Attack43%86%
Defense29%14%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.66 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 16 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

56%
FT probability

2.5+

39%
FT probability

3.5+

28%
FT probability

BTTS

63%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Lokomotiv Sofia CSKA Sofia
HATHAT
Played459459
Wins25%20%22%25%0%11%
Draws50%60%56%50%60%56%
Loses25%20%22%25%40%33%

Form: Lokomotiv Sofia: DDWWDDLLD • CSKA Sofia: DDLDLDWLD

League goals

Metric Lokomotiv Sofia CSKA Sofia
HATHAT
GF total549448
GF avg1.30.81.01.00.80.9
GA total347369
GA avg0.80.80.80.81.21.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLokomotiv SofiaCSKA Sofia
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%56%56%89%
1.522%22%22%11%
2.511%0%11%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLokomotiv SofiaCSKA Sofia
HATHAT
Clean sheets224101
Failed to score123224

Penalties

MetricLokomotiv SofiaCSKA Sofia
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricLokomotiv SofiaCSKA Sofia
Wins21
Draws22
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-13-1—
Biggest losses1-21-00-11-0
Goals For3232
Goals Against2212

Model comparison

MetricLokomotiv SofiaCSKA Sofia
Form38%63%
Att33%67%
Def55%45%
Poisson Distribution63%37%
H2h7%93%
Goals0%100%
Total39.2%61.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or CSKA Sofia and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home5.29 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.80 @ Bet365
Away1.73 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.21 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.70 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.23 @ 188Bet
No1.75 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Lokomotiv Sofia = 1.16 (league 1.34), CSKA Sofia = 0.58 (league 1.11)

CSKA Sofia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lokomotiv Sofia 0 17.6% 10.1% 2.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 20.4% 11.8% 3.4% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 11.9% 6.8% 2.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 4.6% 2.6% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.3% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 50.1% · Draw 31.5% · Away win 18.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1