Fri, Sep 26 2025 • 17:00 • Stadion Lokomotiv
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.68 (league 1.33) 0.59 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
32.5% 40.4% 27.1%
best score tips
0 - 0
27.9%
1 - 0
19.0%
0 - 1
16.6%
Score & goals probability table
Levski Sofia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lokomotiv Plovdiv 0 27.9% 16.6% 4.9% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0%
1 19.0% 11.3% 3.4% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 6.5% 3.9% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 1.5% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLokomotiv PlovdivLevski Sofia
Played55
Form53%73%
Attack60%60%
Defense20%70%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.26 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.63 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

59%
FT probability

2.5+

41%
FT probability

3.5+

29%
FT probability

BTTS

63%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Lokomotiv Plovdiv Levski Sofia
HATHAT
Played459538
Wins75%20%44%80%67%75%
Draws25%60%44%20%33%25%
Loses0%20%11%0%0%0%

Form: Lokomotiv Plovdiv: WDWDWDWDL • Levski Sofia: WWWWDWWD

League goals

Metric Lokomotiv Plovdiv Levski Sofia
HATHAT
GF total54911415
GF avg1.30.81.02.21.31.9
GA total279224
GA avg0.51.41.00.40.70.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLokomotiv PlovdivLevski Sofia
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.578%67%75%50%
1.522%11%75%0%
2.50%11%13%0%
3.50%11%13%0%
4.50%0%13%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLokomotiv PlovdivLevski Sofia
HATHAT
Clean sheets213314
Failed to score022112

Penalties

MetricLokomotiv PlovdivLevski Sofia
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total13

Streaks

MetricLokomotiv PlovdivLevski Sofia
Wins14
Draws11
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-11-25-01-2
Biggest losses4-0
Goals For2252
Goals Against1411

Model comparison

MetricLokomotiv PlovdivLevski Sofia
Form42%58%
Att50%50%
Def27%73%
Poisson Distribution46%54%
H2h20%80%
Goals29%71%
Total35.7%64.3%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Levski Sofia and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home5.86 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.80 @ Bet365
Away1.67 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.33 @ 188Bet
No1.64 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.28 @ Marathonbet
Under 2.51.64 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Lokomotiv Plovdiv = 0.68 (league 1.33), Levski Sofia = 0.59 (league 1.09)

Levski Sofia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lokomotiv Plovdiv 0 27.9% 16.6% 4.9% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0%
1 19.0% 11.3% 3.4% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 6.5% 3.9% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 1.5% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 32.5% · Draw 40.4% · Away win 27.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1