Sun, Oct 5 2025 • 17:15 • National Stadium Vasil Levski
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.22 (league 1.34) 0.95 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
8.6% 37.8% 53.6%
best score tips
0 - 0
30.9%
0 - 1
29.4%
0 - 2
14.0%
Score & goals probability table
Ludogorets
0 1 2 3 4 5
CSKA Sofia 0 30.9% 29.4% 14.0% 4.4% 1.1% 0.2%
1 6.9% 6.6% 3.1% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
2 0.8% 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCSKA SofiaLudogorets
Played55
Form40%60%
Attack44%38%
Defense63%88%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.46 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.22 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

54%
FT probability

2.5+

38%
FT probability

3.5+

27%
FT probability

BTTS

56%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric CSKA Sofia Ludogorets
HATHAT
Played4610549
Wins25%0%10%80%50%67%
Draws50%67%60%20%50%33%
Loses25%33%30%0%0%0%

Form: CSKA Sofia: DDLDLDWLDD • Ludogorets: WWWWDWDDW

League goals

Metric CSKA Sofia Ludogorets
HATHAT
GF total45912517
GF avg1.00.80.92.41.31.9
GA total3710213
GA avg0.81.21.00.40.30.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCSKA SofiaLudogorets
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.560%90%78%33%
1.520%10%56%0%
2.510%0%33%0%
3.50%0%11%0%
4.50%0%11%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCSKA SofiaLudogorets
HATHAT
Clean sheets101336
Failed to score224112

Penalties

MetricCSKA SofiaLudogorets
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total13

Streaks

MetricCSKA SofiaLudogorets
Wins14
Draws22
Losses10

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-15-00-3
Biggest losses0-11-0
Goals For3253
Goals Against1211

Model comparison

MetricCSKA SofiaLudogorets
Form40%60%
Att54%46%
Def25%75%
Poisson Distribution16%84%
H2h7%93%
Goals27%73%
Total28.2%71.8%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Ludogorets and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.77 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.25 @ 188Bet
Away2.99 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.35 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.65 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.97 @ Unibet
No1.94 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): CSKA Sofia = 0.22 (league 1.34), Ludogorets = 0.95 (league 1.09)

Ludogorets
0 1 2 3 4 5
CSKA Sofia 0 30.9% 29.4% 14.0% 4.4% 1.1% 0.2%
1 6.9% 6.6% 3.1% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
2 0.8% 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 8.6% · Draw 37.8% · Away win 53.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1