Sat, Oct 4 2025 • 12:15 • Stadion Vitosha
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.79 (league 1.34) 0.54 (league 1.11)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
66.7% 21.7% 10.6%
best score tips
1 - 0
17.5%
2 - 0
15.6%
0 - 0
9.8%
Score & goals probability table
Spartak Varna
0 1 2 3 4 5
CSKA 1948 0 9.8% 5.3% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
1 17.5% 9.4% 2.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 15.6% 8.4% 2.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 9.3% 5.0% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 4.1% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.5% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCSKA 1948Spartak Varna
Played55
Form80%53%
Attack100%64%
Defense64%64%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.27 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.84 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

71%
FT probability

2.5+

50%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric CSKA 1948 Spartak Varna
HATHAT
Played55106410
Wins100%40%70%17%25%20%
Draws0%20%10%50%50%50%
Loses0%40%20%33%25%30%

Form: CSKA 1948: WDWLWWLWWW • Spartak Varna: DDDLLDLWWD

League goals

Metric CSKA 1948 Spartak Varna
HATHAT
GF total126187411
GF avg2.41.21.81.21.01.1
GA total3697411
GA avg0.61.20.91.21.01.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCSKA 1948Spartak Varna
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%70%80%70%
1.550%20%20%30%
2.520%0%10%10%
3.510%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCSKA 1948Spartak Varna
HATHAT
Clean sheets213213
Failed to score000112

Penalties

MetricCSKA 1948Spartak Varna
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricCSKA 1948Spartak Varna
Wins22
Draws13
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-01-23-01-2
Biggest losses—2-11-32-1
Goals For4232
Goals Against1232

Model comparison

MetricCSKA 1948Spartak Varna
Form60%40%
Att61%39%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution73%27%
H2h75%25%
Goals68%32%
Total64.5%35.5%

Advice: Double chance : CSKA 1948 or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.22 @ Betano
Draw6.59 @ Pinnacle
Away14.39 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.60 @ Superbet
Under 2.52.41 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.32 @ Superbet
No1.67 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): CSKA 1948 = 1.79 (league 1.34), Spartak Varna = 0.54 (league 1.11)

Spartak Varna
0 1 2 3 4 5
CSKA 1948 0 9.8% 5.3% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
1 17.5% 9.4% 2.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 15.6% 8.4% 2.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 9.3% 5.0% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 4.1% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.5% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 66.7% · Draw 21.7% · Away win 10.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1