Sat, Oct 4 2025 • 14:45 • Ogosta Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.45 (league 1.33) 0.55 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
23.4% 46.5% 30.1%
best score tips
0 - 0
36.8%
0 - 1
20.2%
1 - 0
16.6%
Score & goals probability table
Cherno More Varna
0 1 2 3 4 5
Montana 0 36.8% 20.2% 5.5% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0%
1 16.6% 9.1% 2.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 3.7% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMontanaCherno More Varna
Played55
Form60%53%
Attack50%50%
Defense50%70%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 15 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 13 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

54%
FT probability

2.5+

38%
FT probability

3.5+

27%
FT probability

BTTS

58%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Montana Cherno More Varna
HATHAT
Played55105510
Wins40%20%30%60%40%50%
Draws40%0%20%40%40%40%
Loses20%80%50%0%20%10%

Form: Montana: LDLDLWWWLL • Cherno More Varna: DWWDWDLWWD

League goals

Metric Montana Cherno More Varna
HATHAT
GF total52710515
GF avg1.00.40.72.01.01.5
GA total31316336
GA avg0.62.61.60.60.60.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMontanaCherno More Varna
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.560%60%80%60%
1.510%50%40%0%
2.50%30%20%0%
3.50%10%10%0%
4.50%10%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMontanaCherno More Varna
HATHAT
Clean sheets314224
Failed to score134022

Penalties

MetricMontanaCherno More Varna
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricMontanaCherno More Varna
Wins32
Draws11
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-14-01-3
Biggest losses1-25-01-0
Goals For2143
Goals Against2511

Model comparison

MetricMontanaCherno More Varna
Form53%47%
Att50%50%
Def38%63%
Poisson Distribution41%59%
H2h50%50%
Goals38%63%
Total45.0%55.3%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Cherno More Varna and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home5.50 @ Bet365
Draw3.70 @ Pinnacle
Away1.73 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.36 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.67 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.27 @ Pinnacle
No1.75 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Montana = 0.45 (league 1.33), Cherno More Varna = 0.55 (league 1.09)

Cherno More Varna
0 1 2 3 4 5
Montana 0 36.8% 20.2% 5.5% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0%
1 16.6% 9.1% 2.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 3.7% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 23.4% · Draw 46.5% · Away win 30.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1