Fri, Oct 3 2025 • 16:45 • Stadion Aleksandar Shalamanov
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.71 (league 1.36) 1.03 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
24.6% 33.0% 42.3%
best score tips
0 - 1
18.2%
0 - 0
17.7%
1 - 1
12.8%
Score & goals probability table
Lokomotiv Sofia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Slavia Sofia 0 17.7% 18.2% 9.3% 3.2% 0.8% 0.2%
1 12.5% 12.8% 6.6% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1%
2 4.4% 4.5% 2.3% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
3 1.0% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSlavia SofiaLokomotiv Sofia
Played55
Form40%20%
Attack67%44%
Defense33%33%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.24 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.26 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

62%
FT probability

2.5+

44%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

61%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Slavia Sofia Lokomotiv Sofia
HATHAT
Played55105510
Wins20%0%10%20%20%20%
Draws60%20%40%60%60%60%
Loses20%80%50%20%20%20%

Form: Slavia Sofia: DLLLLWDLDD • Lokomotiv Sofia: DDWWDDLLDD

League goals

Metric Slavia Sofia Lokomotiv Sofia
HATHAT
GF total64106410
GF avg1.20.81.01.20.81.0
GA total71017448
GA avg1.42.01.70.80.80.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSlavia SofiaLokomotiv Sofia
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.570%80%70%60%
1.530%70%20%20%
2.50%20%10%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSlavia SofiaLokomotiv Sofia
HATHAT
Clean sheets202224
Failed to score213123

Penalties

MetricSlavia SofiaLokomotiv Sofia
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricSlavia SofiaLokomotiv Sofia
Wins12
Draws12
Losses42

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-0—3-00-1
Biggest losses0-33-11-21-0
Goals For2132
Goals Against3322

Model comparison

MetricSlavia SofiaLokomotiv Sofia
Form67%33%
Att60%40%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution37%63%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total52.3%47.7%

Advice: Double chance : Slavia Sofia or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.45 @ Bet365
Draw3.25 @ 188Bet
Away3.45 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.14 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.72 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.93 @ 188Bet
No2.01 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Slavia Sofia = 0.71 (league 1.36), Lokomotiv Sofia = 1.03 (league 1.09)

Lokomotiv Sofia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Slavia Sofia 0 17.7% 18.2% 9.3% 3.2% 0.8% 0.2%
1 12.5% 12.8% 6.6% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1%
2 4.4% 4.5% 2.3% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
3 1.0% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 24.6% · Draw 33.0% · Away win 42.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1