Sun, Oct 19 2025 • 17:00 • Stadion Lokomotiv
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.09 (league 1.33) 0.86 (league 1.11)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
40.3% 31.1% 28.5%
best score tips
1 - 0
15.5%
0 - 0
14.3%
1 - 1
13.3%
Score & goals probability table
CSKA 1948
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lokomotiv Sofia 0 14.3% 12.3% 5.3% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
1 15.5% 13.3% 5.7% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
2 8.4% 7.2% 3.1% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 3.0% 2.6% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.8% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLokomotiv SofiaCSKA 1948
Played55
Form13%67%
Attack33%92%
Defense33%58%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.811 | 2.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.65 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

63%
FT probability

2.5+

44%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Lokomotiv Sofia CSKA 1948
HATHAT
Played56116511
Wins20%17%18%83%40%64%
Draws60%50%55%17%20%18%
Loses20%33%27%0%40%18%

Form: Lokomotiv Sofia: DDWWDDLLDDL • CSKA 1948: WDWLWWLWWWD

League goals

Metric Lokomotiv Sofia CSKA 1948
HATHAT
GF total641013619
GF avg1.20.70.92.21.21.7
GA total46104610
GA avg0.81.00.90.71.20.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLokomotiv SofiaCSKA 1948
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.564%64%100%73%
1.518%27%45%18%
2.59%0%18%0%
3.50%0%9%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLokomotiv SofiaCSKA 1948
HATHAT
Clean sheets224213
Failed to score134000

Penalties

MetricLokomotiv SofiaCSKA 1948
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricLokomotiv SofiaCSKA 1948
Wins23
Draws21
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-14-01-2
Biggest losses1-22-0—2-1
Goals For3242
Goals Against2212

Model comparison

MetricLokomotiv SofiaCSKA 1948
Form17%83%
Att27%73%
Def38%62%
Poisson Distribution53%47%
H2h62%38%
Goals64%36%
Total43.5%56.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or CSKA 1948

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.10 @ Bet365
Draw3.35 @ Unibet
Away2.07 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.15 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.78 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.01 @ 188Bet
No2.01 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Lokomotiv Sofia = 1.09 (league 1.33), CSKA 1948 = 0.86 (league 1.11)

CSKA 1948
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lokomotiv Sofia 0 14.3% 12.3% 5.3% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
1 15.5% 13.3% 5.7% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
2 8.4% 7.2% 3.1% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 3.0% 2.6% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.8% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 40.3% · Draw 31.1% · Away win 28.5%

Vtot 4 , Vtod1