Sat, Oct 18 2025 • 14:30 • Huvepharma Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.80 (league 1.33) 0.37 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
71.8% 20.3% 6.8%
best score tips
1 - 0
20.6%
2 - 0
18.6%
0 - 0
11.4%
Score & goals probability table
Spartak Varna
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ludogorets 0 11.4% 4.2% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 20.6% 7.5% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 18.6% 6.8% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 11.2% 4.1% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 5.0% 1.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.8% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLudogoretsSpartak Varna
Played55
Form60%53%
Attack50%67%
Defense83%58%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.28 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.45 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

64%
FT probability

2.5+

45%
FT probability

3.5+

32%
FT probability

BTTS

62%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Ludogorets Spartak Varna
HATHAT
Played55106511
Wins80%40%60%17%20%18%
Draws20%60%40%50%60%55%
Loses0%0%0%33%20%27%

Form: Ludogorets: WWWWDWDDWD • Spartak Varna: DDDLLDLWWDD

League goals

Metric Ludogorets Spartak Varna
HATHAT
GF total125177512
GF avg2.41.01.71.21.01.1
GA total2137512
GA avg0.40.20.31.21.01.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLudogoretsSpartak Varna
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.570%30%82%73%
1.550%0%18%27%
2.530%0%9%9%
3.510%0%0%0%
4.510%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLudogoretsSpartak Varna
HATHAT
Clean sheets347213
Failed to score123112

Penalties

MetricLudogoretsSpartak Varna
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total31

Streaks

MetricLudogoretsSpartak Varna
Wins42
Draws23
Losses02

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-00-33-01-2
Biggest losses1-32-1
Goals For5332
Goals Against1132

Model comparison

MetricLudogoretsSpartak Varna
Form53%47%
Att43%57%
Def71%29%
Poisson Distribution81%19%
H2h100%0%
Goals78%22%
Total65.2%34.8%

Advice: Double chance : Ludogorets or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.12 @ Bet365
Draw9.54 @ Pinnacle
Away23.00 @ William Hill

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.47 @ 188Bet
No1.57 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.40 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.91 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Ludogorets = 1.80 (league 1.33), Spartak Varna = 0.37 (league 1.09)

Spartak Varna
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ludogorets 0 11.4% 4.2% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 20.6% 7.5% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 18.6% 6.8% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 11.2% 4.1% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 5.0% 1.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.8% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 71.8% · Draw 20.3% · Away win 6.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1