Sun, Oct 19 2025 • 14:30 • Ticha
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.89 (league 1.34) 0.55 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
41.7% 36.7% 21.5%
best score tips
0 - 0
23.6%
1 - 0
21.1%
0 - 1
13.0%
Score & goals probability table
Levski Sofia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Cherno More Varna 0 23.6% 13.0% 3.6% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
1 21.1% 11.6% 3.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 9.4% 5.2% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 2.8% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCherno More VarnaLevski Sofia
Played55
Form67%67%
Attack70%60%
Defense70%70%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.46 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.63 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

61%
FT probability

2.5+

43%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Cherno More Varna Levski Sofia
HATHAT
Played56116511
Wins60%50%55%83%60%73%
Draws40%33%36%17%20%18%
Loses0%17%9%0%20%9%

Form: Cherno More Varna: DWWDWDLWWDW • Levski Sofia: WWWWDWWDLWW

League goals

Metric Cherno More Varna Levski Sofia
HATHAT
GF total1081814519
GF avg2.01.31.62.31.01.7
GA total347336
GA avg0.60.70.60.50.60.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCherno More VarnaLevski Sofia
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.582%64%73%55%
1.545%0%64%0%
2.527%0%18%0%
3.59%0%9%0%
4.50%0%9%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCherno More VarnaLevski Sofia
HATHAT
Clean sheets224325
Failed to score022123

Penalties

MetricCherno More VarnaLevski Sofia
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total23

Streaks

MetricCherno More VarnaLevski Sofia
Wins24
Draws11
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-01-35-01-2
Biggest losses—1-0—1-0
Goals For4352
Goals Against1111

Model comparison

MetricCherno More VarnaLevski Sofia
Form50%50%
Att54%46%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution59%41%
H2h71%29%
Goals56%44%
Total56.7%43.3%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Cherno More Varna or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.97 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.10 @ 188Bet
Away2.21 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.75 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.48 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.20 @ Unibet
No1.70 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Cherno More Varna = 0.89 (league 1.34), Levski Sofia = 0.55 (league 1.09)

Levski Sofia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Cherno More Varna 0 23.6% 13.0% 3.6% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
1 21.1% 11.6% 3.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 9.4% 5.2% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 2.8% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 41.7% · Draw 36.7% · Away win 21.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1