Sat, Oct 25 2025 • 12:30 • Stadion Aleksandar Shalamanov
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.68 (league 1.34) 1.40 (league 1.11)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
18.0% 27.5% 54.2%
best score tips
0 - 1
17.5%
0 - 0
12.5%
0 - 2
12.3%
Score & goals probability table
Cherno More Varna
0 1 2 3 4 5
Slavia Sofia 0 12.5% 17.5% 12.3% 5.7% 2.0% 0.6%
1 8.5% 11.9% 8.3% 3.9% 1.4% 0.4%
2 2.9% 4.0% 2.8% 1.3% 0.5% 0.1%
3 0.6% 0.9% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSlavia SofiaCherno More Varna
Played55
Form40%67%
Attack36%57%
Defense64%64%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 18 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 15 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

68%
FT probability

2.5+

48%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Slavia Sofia Cherno More Varna
HATHAT
Played66126612
Wins33%0%17%50%50%50%
Draws50%33%42%33%33%33%
Loses17%67%42%17%17%17%

Form: Slavia Sofia: DLLLLWDLDDWD • Cherno More Varna: DWWDWDLWWDWL

League goals

Metric Slavia Sofia Cherno More Varna
HATHAT
GF total851311819
GF avg1.30.81.11.81.31.6
GA total711186410
GA avg1.21.81.51.00.70.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSlavia SofiaCherno More Varna
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%75%83%67%
1.533%58%42%8%
2.50%17%25%8%
3.50%0%8%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSlavia SofiaCherno More Varna
HATHAT
Clean sheets303224
Failed to score213022

Penalties

MetricSlavia SofiaCherno More Varna
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricSlavia SofiaCherno More Varna
Wins12
Draws21
Losses41

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-0—4-01-3
Biggest losses0-33-11-31-0
Goals For2143
Goals Against3331

Model comparison

MetricSlavia SofiaCherno More Varna
Form38%63%
Att38%62%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution30%70%
H2h29%71%
Goals23%77%
Total34.7%65.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Cherno More Varna

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.20 @ Bet365
Draw3.30 @ 188Bet
Away2.36 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.20 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.73 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.91 @ Unibet
No1.96 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Slavia Sofia = 0.68 (league 1.34), Cherno More Varna = 1.40 (league 1.11)

Cherno More Varna
0 1 2 3 4 5
Slavia Sofia 0 12.5% 17.5% 12.3% 5.7% 2.0% 0.6%
1 8.5% 11.9% 8.3% 3.9% 1.4% 0.4%
2 2.9% 4.0% 2.8% 1.3% 0.5% 0.1%
3 0.6% 0.9% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 18.0% · Draw 27.5% · Away win 54.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1