Fri, Oct 24 2025 • 14:30 • Stadion Spartak
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.27 (league 1.33) 1.94 (league 1.11)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
24.7% 22.1% 51.6%
best score tips
1 - 1
10.0%
1 - 2
9.7%
0 - 1
7.9%
Score & goals probability table
Botev Plovdiv
0 1 2 3 4 5
Spartak Varna 0 4.1% 7.9% 7.6% 4.9% 2.4% 0.9%
1 5.1% 10.0% 9.7% 6.2% 3.0% 1.2%
2 3.3% 6.3% 6.1% 3.9% 1.9% 0.7%
3 1.4% 2.7% 2.6% 1.7% 0.8% 0.3%
4 0.4% 0.8% 0.8% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSpartak VarnaBotev Plovdiv
Played55
Form60%47%
Attack89%78%
Defense56%33%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.67 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.86 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

74%
FT probability

2.5+

52%
FT probability

3.5+

37%
FT probability

BTTS

78%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Spartak Varna Botev Plovdiv
HATHAT
Played66127512
Wins17%17%17%0%60%25%
Draws50%67%58%29%0%17%
Loses33%17%25%71%40%58%

Form: Spartak Varna: DDDLLDLWWDDD • Botev Plovdiv: DLLLWLLWLLWD

League goals

Metric Spartak Varna Botev Plovdiv
HATHAT
GF total76133912
GF avg1.21.01.10.41.81.0
GA total761312719
GA avg1.21.01.11.71.41.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSpartak VarnaBotev Plovdiv
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.583%75%67%100%
1.517%25%25%33%
2.58%8%8%8%
3.50%0%0%8%
4.50%0%0%8%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSpartak VarnaBotev Plovdiv
HATHAT
Clean sheets213000
Failed to score112404

Penalties

MetricSpartak VarnaBotev Plovdiv
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricSpartak VarnaBotev Plovdiv
Wins21
Draws31
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-2—1-3
Biggest losses1-32-10-52-1
Goals For3213
Goals Against3252

Model comparison

MetricSpartak VarnaBotev Plovdiv
Form56%44%
Att53%47%
Def60%40%
Poisson Distribution37%63%
H2h60%40%
Goals54%46%
Total53.3%46.7%

Advice: Double chance : Spartak Varna or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.00 @ Unibet
Draw3.60 @ Bet365
Away1.95 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.98 @ 188Bet
Under 2.51.87 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.83 @ 188Bet
No2.06 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Spartak Varna = 1.27 (league 1.33), Botev Plovdiv = 1.94 (league 1.11)

Botev Plovdiv
0 1 2 3 4 5
Spartak Varna 0 4.1% 7.9% 7.6% 4.9% 2.4% 0.9%
1 5.1% 10.0% 9.7% 6.2% 3.0% 1.2%
2 3.3% 6.3% 6.1% 3.9% 1.9% 0.7%
3 1.4% 2.7% 2.6% 1.7% 0.8% 0.3%
4 0.4% 0.8% 0.8% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 24.7% · Draw 22.1% · Away win 51.6%

Vtot 2 , Vtod1