Mon, Nov 3 2025 • 14:00 • Beroe Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.90 (league 1.33) 0.50 (league 1.11)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
43.5% 36.9% 19.6%
best score tips
0 - 0
24.5%
1 - 0
22.2%
0 - 1
12.3%
Score & goals probability table
Lokomotiv Sofia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Beroe 0 24.5% 12.3% 3.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 22.2% 11.1% 2.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 10.0% 5.0% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 3.0% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBeroeLokomotiv Sofia
Played55
Form33%20%
Attack40%50%
Defense10%20%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.85 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.88 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

60%
FT probability

2.5+

42%
FT probability

3.5+

30%
FT probability

BTTS

63%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Beroe Lokomotiv Sofia
HATHAT
Played57127613
Wins40%14%25%14%17%15%
Draws40%43%42%57%50%54%
Loses20%43%33%29%33%31%

Form: Beroe: DDLWLDWDWLDL • Lokomotiv Sofia: DDWWDDLLDDLLD

League goals

Metric Beroe Lokomotiv Sofia
HATHAT
GF total67138412
GF avg1.21.01.11.10.70.9
GA total416207613
GA avg0.82.31.71.01.01.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBeroeLokomotiv Sofia
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%67%62%69%
1.525%50%23%31%
2.58%25%8%0%
3.50%17%0%0%
4.50%8%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBeroeLokomotiv Sofia
HATHAT
Clean sheets224224
Failed to score033235

Penalties

MetricBeroeLokomotiv Sofia
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricBeroeLokomotiv Sofia
Wins12
Draws22
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-02-33-00-1
Biggest losses1-25-11-22-0
Goals For2332
Goals Against2522

Model comparison

MetricBeroeLokomotiv Sofia
Form63%38%
Att44%56%
Def47%53%
Poisson Distribution62%38%
H2h7%93%
Goals13%88%
Total39.3%61.0%

Advice: Double chance : Beroe or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.12 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.40 @ Unibet
Away2.39 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.14 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.73 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.88 @ 188Bet
No1.97 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Beroe = 0.90 (league 1.33), Lokomotiv Sofia = 0.50 (league 1.11)

Lokomotiv Sofia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Beroe 0 24.5% 12.3% 3.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 22.2% 11.1% 2.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 10.0% 5.0% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 3.0% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 43.5% · Draw 36.9% · Away win 19.6%

Vtot 7 , Vtod1