Fri, Nov 7 2025 • 13:00 • Stadion Spartak
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.19 (league 1.34) 0.82 (league 1.11)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
66.2% 18.7% 12.7%
best score tips
2 - 0
11.8%
1 - 0
10.8%
2 - 1
9.7%
Score & goals probability table
Septemvri Sofia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Spartak Varna 0 4.9% 4.1% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 10.8% 8.9% 3.6% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
2 11.8% 9.7% 4.0% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
3 8.6% 7.1% 2.9% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
4 4.7% 3.9% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 2.1% 1.7% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSpartak VarnaSeptemvri Sofia
Played55
Form40%33%
Attack55%45%
Defense36%45%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.25 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.46 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%
FT probability

2.5+

54%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

74%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Spartak Varna Septemvri Sofia
HATHAT
Played77147714
Wins29%14%21%29%14%21%
Draws43%57%50%14%14%14%
Loses29%29%29%57%71%64%

Form: Spartak Varna: DDDLLDLWWDDDWL • Septemvri Sofia: LLLLWLWLLDDWLL

League goals

Metric Spartak Varna Septemvri Sofia
HATHAT
GF total106169514
GF avg1.40.91.11.30.71.0
GA total9817121527
GA avg1.31.11.21.72.11.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSpartak VarnaSeptemvri Sofia
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.579%79%79%86%
1.521%36%21%64%
2.514%7%0%29%
3.50%0%0%7%
4.50%0%0%7%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSpartak VarnaSeptemvri Sofia
HATHAT
Clean sheets213112
Failed to score123123

Penalties

MetricSpartak VarnaSeptemvri Sofia
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total23

Streaks

MetricSpartak VarnaSeptemvri Sofia
Wins21
Draws32
Losses24

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-22-10-1
Biggest losses1-32-01-35-0
Goals For3221
Goals Against3235

Model comparison

MetricSpartak VarnaSeptemvri Sofia
Form55%45%
Att55%45%
Def46%54%
Poisson Distribution71%29%
H2h80%20%
Goals69%31%
Total62.7%37.3%

Advice: Double chance : Spartak Varna or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.30 @ Unibet
Draw3.35 @ Unibet
Away3.37 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.97 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.87 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.77 @ Unibet
No2.13 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Spartak Varna = 2.19 (league 1.34), Septemvri Sofia = 0.82 (league 1.11)

Septemvri Sofia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Spartak Varna 0 4.9% 4.1% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 10.8% 8.9% 3.6% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
2 11.8% 9.7% 4.0% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
3 8.6% 7.1% 2.9% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
4 4.7% 3.9% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 2.1% 1.7% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 66.2% · Draw 18.7% · Away win 12.7%

Vtot 3 , Vtod1