Sat, Nov 22 2025 • 12:30 • Ticha
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.21 (league 1.33) 0.80 (league 1.12)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
45.3% 29.9% 24.6%
best score tips
1 - 0
16.2%
0 - 0
13.4%
1 - 1
13.0%
Score & goals probability table
Lokomotiv Sofia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Cherno More Varna 0 13.4% 10.8% 4.3% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
1 16.2% 13.0% 5.2% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0%
2 9.7% 7.8% 3.2% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
3 3.9% 3.1% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.2% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCherno More VarnaLokomotiv Sofia
Played55
Form53%27%
Attack50%50%
Defense60%30%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 15 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.87 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

61%
FT probability

2.5+

43%
FT probability

3.5+

30%
FT probability

BTTS

62%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Cherno More Varna Lokomotiv Sofia
HATHAT
Played78158715
Wins43%50%47%13%29%20%
Draws43%38%40%50%43%47%
Loses14%13%13%38%29%33%

Form: Cherno More Varna: DWWDWDLWWDWLDDW • Lokomotiv Sofia: DDWWDDLLDDLLDWL

League goals

Metric Cherno More Varna Lokomotiv Sofia
HATHAT
GF total119208715
GF avg1.61.11.31.01.01.0
GA total64108715
GA avg0.90.50.71.01.01.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCherno More VarnaLokomotiv Sofia
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.573%53%60%73%
1.533%7%27%27%
2.520%7%13%0%
3.57%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCherno More VarnaLokomotiv Sofia
HATHAT
Clean sheets347224
Failed to score134336

Penalties

MetricCherno More VarnaLokomotiv Sofia
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricCherno More VarnaLokomotiv Sofia
Wins22
Draws22
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-01-33-01-3
Biggest losses1-31-01-22-0
Goals For4333
Goals Against3122

Model comparison

MetricCherno More VarnaLokomotiv Sofia
Form67%33%
Att50%50%
Def64%36%
Poisson Distribution59%41%
H2h62%38%
Goals75%25%
Total62.8%37.2%

Advice: Double chance : Cherno More Varna or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.70 @ 10Bet
Draw3.94 @ Pinnacle
Away5.30 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.98 @ SBO
Under 2.51.92 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.01 @ 188Bet
No1.91 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Cherno More Varna = 1.21 (league 1.33), Lokomotiv Sofia = 0.80 (league 1.12)

Lokomotiv Sofia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Cherno More Varna 0 13.4% 10.8% 4.3% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
1 16.2% 13.0% 5.2% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0%
2 9.7% 7.8% 3.2% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
3 3.9% 3.1% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.2% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 45.3% · Draw 29.9% · Away win 24.6%

Vtot 14 , Vtod1