Sun, Nov 23 2025 • 12:30 • National Stadium Vasil Levski
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.88 (league 1.33) 1.98 (league 1.11)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
15.9% 21.0% 61.5%
best score tips
0 - 1
11.3%
0 - 2
11.2%
1 - 1
10.0%
Score & goals probability table
Ludogorets
0 1 2 3 4 5
Septemvri Sofia 0 5.7% 11.3% 11.2% 7.4% 3.7% 1.5%
1 5.0% 10.0% 9.9% 6.5% 3.2% 1.3%
2 2.2% 4.4% 4.4% 2.9% 1.4% 0.6%
3 0.7% 1.3% 1.3% 0.8% 0.4% 0.2%
4 0.1% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSeptemvri SofiaLudogorets
Played55
Form47%20%
Attack67%58%
Defense50%25%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.67 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.29 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

78%
FT probability

2.5+

55%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Septemvri Sofia Ludogorets
HATHAT
Played78157714
Wins29%25%27%57%29%43%
Draws14%13%13%29%57%43%
Loses57%63%60%14%14%14%

Form: Septemvri Sofia: LLLLWLWLLDDWLLW • Ludogorets: WWWWDWDDWDDLDL

League goals

Metric Septemvri Sofia Ludogorets
HATHAT
GF total991815924
GF avg1.31.11.22.11.31.7
GA total1216286612
GA avg1.72.01.90.90.90.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSeptemvri SofiaLudogorets
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.580%87%71%43%
1.527%60%50%14%
2.57%27%29%14%
3.57%7%14%7%
4.50%7%7%7%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSeptemvri SofiaLudogorets
HATHAT
Clean sheets112358
Failed to score123134

Penalties

MetricSeptemvri SofiaLudogorets
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total33

Streaks

MetricSeptemvri SofiaLudogorets
Wins14
Draws22
Losses41

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-11-45-00-3
Biggest losses1-35-02-35-4
Goals For2454
Goals Against3535

Model comparison

MetricSeptemvri SofiaLudogorets
Form70%30%
Att53%47%
Def60%40%
Poisson Distribution28%72%
H2h7%93%
Goals7%93%
Total37.5%62.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Ludogorets

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home11.00 @ Unibet
Draw5.30 @ Unibet
Away1.40 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.70 @ 10Bet
Under 2.52.20 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.30 @ 188Bet
No1.80 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Septemvri Sofia = 0.88 (league 1.33), Ludogorets = 1.98 (league 1.11)

Ludogorets
0 1 2 3 4 5
Septemvri Sofia 0 5.7% 11.3% 11.2% 7.4% 3.7% 1.5%
1 5.0% 10.0% 9.9% 6.5% 3.2% 1.3%
2 2.2% 4.4% 4.4% 2.9% 1.4% 0.6%
3 0.7% 1.3% 1.3% 0.8% 0.4% 0.2%
4 0.1% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 15.9% · Draw 21.0% · Away win 61.5%

Vtot 10 , Vtod1