Fri, Nov 21 2025 • 15:45 • Stadion Beroe
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.00 (league 1.33) 0.97 (league 1.11)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
35.0% 31.2% 33.7%
best score tips
0 - 0
14.0%
1 - 0
14.0%
0 - 1
13.6%
Score & goals probability table
Spartak Varna
0 1 2 3 4 5
Beroe 0 14.0% 13.6% 6.6% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1%
1 14.0% 13.5% 6.6% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1%
2 6.9% 6.7% 3.3% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0%
3 2.3% 2.2% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.6% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBeroeSpartak Varna
Played55
Form7%33%
Attack36%55%
Defense0%9%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.86 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)13 | 2.610 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

69%
FT probability

2.5+

48%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Beroe Spartak Varna
HATHAT
Played68148715
Wins33%13%21%25%14%20%
Draws33%38%36%38%57%47%
Loses33%50%43%38%29%33%

Form: Beroe: DDLWLDWDWLDLLL • Spartak Varna: DDDLLDLWWDDDWLL

League goals

Metric Beroe Spartak Varna
HATHAT
GF total771411617
GF avg1.20.91.01.40.91.1
GA total7172413821
GA avg1.22.11.71.61.11.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBeroeSpartak Varna
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.571%71%80%80%
1.521%50%20%40%
2.57%29%13%13%
3.50%14%0%7%
4.50%7%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBeroeSpartak Varna
HATHAT
Clean sheets224213
Failed to score044123

Penalties

MetricBeroeSpartak Varna
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricBeroeSpartak Varna
Wins12
Draws23
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-02-33-01-2
Biggest losses1-35-11-42-0
Goals For2332
Goals Against3542

Model comparison

MetricBeroeSpartak Varna
Form17%83%
Att40%60%
Def43%57%
Poisson Distribution51%49%
H2h93%7%
Goals85%15%
Total54.8%45.2%

Advice: Double chance : Beroe or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.05 @ Bet365
Draw3.35 @ Unibet
Away3.97 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.10 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.76 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.87 @ Betfair
No1.97 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Beroe = 1.00 (league 1.33), Spartak Varna = 0.97 (league 1.11)

Spartak Varna
0 1 2 3 4 5
Beroe 0 14.0% 13.6% 6.6% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1%
1 14.0% 13.5% 6.6% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1%
2 6.9% 6.7% 3.3% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0%
3 2.3% 2.2% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.6% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 35.0% · Draw 31.2% · Away win 33.7%

Vtot 11 , Vtod1