Sat, Nov 29 2025 • 15:30 • Stadion Spartak
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.95 (league 1.33) 1.29 (league 1.12)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
27.3% 28.3% 44.1%
best score tips
0 - 1
13.8%
1 - 1
13.1%
0 - 0
10.7%
Score & goals probability table
CSKA Sofia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Spartak Varna 0 10.7% 13.8% 8.9% 3.8% 1.2% 0.3%
1 10.1% 13.1% 8.4% 3.6% 1.2% 0.3%
2 4.8% 6.2% 4.0% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
3 1.5% 1.9% 1.3% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSpartak VarnaCSKA Sofia
Played55
Form33%100%
Attack71%100%
Defense0%57%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 112 | 2.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.83 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

66%
FT probability

2.5+

47%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Spartak Varna CSKA Sofia
HATHAT
Played88168816
Wins25%13%19%50%25%38%
Draws38%63%50%38%50%44%
Loses38%25%31%13%25%19%

Form: Spartak Varna: DDDLLDLWWDDDWLLD • CSKA Sofia: DDLDLDWLDDDWWWWW

League goals

Metric Spartak Varna CSKA Sofia
HATHAT
GF total1161714721
GF avg1.40.81.11.80.91.3
GA total138216713
GA avg1.61.01.30.80.90.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSpartak VarnaCSKA Sofia
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%75%69%75%
1.519%38%31%6%
2.513%13%19%0%
3.50%6%6%0%
4.50%0%6%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSpartak VarnaCSKA Sofia
HATHAT
Clean sheets224224
Failed to score134325

Penalties

MetricSpartak VarnaCSKA Sofia
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total23

Streaks

MetricSpartak VarnaCSKA Sofia
Wins21
Draws33
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-25-10-1
Biggest losses1-42-00-11-0
Goals For3252
Goals Against4212

Model comparison

MetricSpartak VarnaCSKA Sofia
Form25%75%
Att29%71%
Def25%75%
Poisson Distribution41%59%
H2h7%93%
Goals24%76%
Total25.2%74.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or CSKA Sofia

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home10.00 @ Unibet
Draw5.00 @ Unibet
Away1.40 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.74 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.12 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.12 @ Unibet
No1.80 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Spartak Varna = 0.95 (league 1.33), CSKA Sofia = 1.29 (league 1.12)

CSKA Sofia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Spartak Varna 0 10.7% 13.8% 8.9% 3.8% 1.2% 0.3%
1 10.1% 13.1% 8.4% 3.6% 1.2% 0.3%
2 4.8% 6.2% 4.0% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
3 1.5% 1.9% 1.3% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 27.3% · Draw 28.3% · Away win 44.1%

Vtot 7 , Vtod1